What Is BTO Plus?
BTOPlus+ Race Guides break the mould to provide revolutionary race information for casual and serious punters.
- BTOPlus+ Ratings. On average the winner is found in the top 3 rated horse 60% of the time!
- Summarised Trainer/Jockey course statistics and trends in an easy to read table
- Draw Bias and Pace Map for all the runners so you can anticipate how the race could be run
- Identification of faster than class speed ratings and well handicapped horses
- Utilisation of sophisticated statistical techniques presented in a graphical form for ease of interpretation
- Sire Distance and Going preferences
- Using the "BTOPlus+ rating", note the higher rated and closely rated horses.
- Using the horse's form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of todays race.
- Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped.
- Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race, determine which horses are suited to the draw/pace conditions.
- Review horse's stable form and jockey form to determine if either are suffering from below par performances.
- Think chances! From the list of your contenders and using the BTOPlus+ race guide betting forecast, determine which horses are underestimated in the market based on your assessment of the race.
- Use the race guide to augment your own handicapping factors, systems or processes.
|# (Cloth number)||This is the race card number of the horse which is shown on the saddle cloth.|
|Rating||This is the horse's BTOPlus+ Rating for this race. These ratings are compiled from thousands of variables.|
|FCast||The horse's BTOPlus+ forecast pricefor this race|
|OR||The horse's Official handicap Rating|
|SP||Starting price odds|
|Pace Draw||The horse's stall position (flat racing only)|
|Pace IV||Impact Value is a statisical technique which produces an index. In the simplest terms, above 1 is good, below 1 is bad.|
|Pace Bias||(Flat Racing Only). A graphic which uses the (i)mpact (v)alue index statistic comparing two groups of data with the same characteristic; in this case individual stall positions, with the statistic plotted visually, positive stalls in green, negative stalls in red|
|Pace||The pace ratings and Pace % are a guide as to how a race will be run. They are calculated as follows :- we store pace abbreviations for each horse for every run it has, they can be either L for Led, P for Prominent or H for Held Up. Then to calculate a pace rating for an upcoming race we look at the last 3 runs the horse had and allocate points based on the pace abbreviation given as follows :- 4pts for Led, 2pts for Prominent and 0pts for Held Up, so for instance if a horse Led in all of it's last 3 runs it would get a points total of 12pts or if it was Held up in one race, led in another and was prominent in the third race then it would get 6pts. The pace rating column on the race card screen contains this total for each horse and from these the pace percentage column is calculated.
To use these two columns is then simple, if a horse has a percentage of higher than 33% then it is more than likely that it will lead and could even get a soft lead. If there are two or 3 well clear of the rest then one of these will likely lead.
Using these in conjunction with the pace details that are carried for each course and distance along with the draw stats is a powerful tool.
|Pos||No. of positive notes for horse|
|Neg||No. of negative notes for horse|
|Class||Indicates in a race of the same race type whether a horses is dropping in class, running in the same class, or being raised in class h compared to its recent race.|
|Speed||The horses last time out speed rating (0-100) non weight adjusted|
|Vs||A faster than class indicator. The horses BTO Plus + last time out speed rating, compared to the Class Pars for winners at todays race type. The chart indicates how much the rating is above (green) or below (red) this median rating|
|Par||Bench speed figure for this class and type of race|
|Career, Going, Distance, Class & Course W-R||Wins to Runs and Strike Rate (%)|
|Trend (Graph)||Using the results of all the trainers runners over a 4 month period, a graphical trend of the trainers A/E (actual verses expected) statistic is plotted.
The shape and direction of the graph provides a visualisation representation trainers performance over this time period.
|14, 28 & 56 day performance:
Trainer & Jockey Statistics:
Trainer Course Statistics:
Jockey Course Statistics:
Sire Distance, Course, Going Statistics:
(Grey section applies to all the above)
|W-R||Wins to Runs and Strike Rate (%) in|
|Exp||Expected Winners: Statistically derived from the probability of the winners (W)|
|A/E||A/E: A ratio of (A)ctual winners verses (E)xpected winners.
A/E provides a good indicator of whether a statistic is good or bad.
Higher than 1.0 is good and lower than 1.0 is bad. Each 0.1 above or below 1.0 represents 10% better or worse.
|Green Squares / Red Circles||Each square represents 10% above or below A/E values of 1.0. e.g. An A/E of 1.2 would display 2 green squares because it is 20% better than expectation, whilst a A/E of 0.3 would show 7 red circles because it is 70% worse than expected.|
|Best In Category||Indicates best performer for each racecard section.|
|Quickly starting and stopping alerts||Turning alerts on and off is simple, click the alerts button at the top of the racecard/resultcard and you'll see the start or stop button appear for alerts for any given horse. You can also search for horses in the members area by visiting the site on a computer, and have the ability to pause, mass delete and add notes to your alerts. You'll receive a digest email letting you know of runners you have alerts for the next day. BTO Plus+ members can turn off email alerts should they just prefer on-site alerts.|
|Adding Notes to your alerts||You can add notes to your horse alerts for your own future reference. Simply go to the members area (click the avatar symbol in the top right of the menu), find the horse in your stored alerts, and click the notes button. Note that if you delete a horse from your alerts, your notes will be deleted permanently, so if you simply want to stop a horse's alerts with the expectation you might want to pick up with it again in future deactivate that horse's alerts by clicking the corresponding toggle button.|
|Quickly view your notes||To quickly see the notes you've added to alerts for any given horse hover your cursor over the name of the horse. This tip works site wide - anywhere you see the horse's name in an alert, hovering over it will show you your notes.|