A daughter of Golden Horn should be well suited to a switch to Tapeta this evening and sets a solid standard on form.
Mark Johnston had a winner with Overwrite yesterday and has good chances with at least a couple at Nottingham today, but his best prospect might be Tulip Fields who goes in the Lancastrian Suite Fillies' Novice Stakes at Gosforth Park this evening.
The filly has raced three times, placed on each occasion and with the aggregate distance beaten being just four lengths, that experience can pay dividends. Tonight's trip is a mile, a distance over which she tried to make all at Haydock last time, just getting run out of it close home on very soft ground with a westerly headwind in her face up the four furlong straight.
Joe Fanning, the master of "waiting in front" is on board this evening, and that augurs well, as do her sire stats. The progeny of her father Golden Horn are two from four on the Tapeta surface and one from two at Newcastle. The galloping long straight (without the headwind) also looks like suiting the filly, who is top on BTO ratings and whose trainer and jockey are 16% at the course when combining.
Just Call Me Ella, available at big prices on the exchanges is next best on ratings with some interesting stats such as her sire's strike-rate with his progeny 14% at the course and nearly the same at the trip.
She has been well beaten in two tries, though and will likely make more appeal in handicap company.
The favourite is Red Line Alexander who ran a cracker at Ascot last month when third to Pocket Square. Her sire's progeny are 43% at the course and 28% over a mile but trainer Simon Crisford has only had one winner from his last 19 runners.
John Gosden runs the debutante Tiempo Vuela, a daughter of Lope de Vega whose progeny are 38% at the course and Gosden is 37% at Newcastle. In what is probably a three-horse race, Tulip Field might successfully make all at around the 3/1 mark.
Article Posted on Wednesday 9th October 2019 @ 09.43
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