The ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes is the feature contest at Kempton and a number of useful sorts run in the event
Connections of BLUE DE VEGA will be hoping that relocating the colt to Robert Cowell's yard will rejuvenate him. Formerly trained by Michael O'Callaghan in Ireland, the son of Lope De Vega showed plenty of potential during the early part of his career but has never kicked on from that. Blue De Vega cruised to a three and a half length success in the Killavullan Stakes at Leopardstown as a juvenile - but that victory almost two years ago was the last time the colt was in the winners' enclosure. There have been decent efforts along the way - his best run was when he was third in last year's Irish 2000 Guineas - but he's drawn blank from his past six runs. A change of scenery could benefit Blue De Vega and Cowell is a master at training sprinters. Meanwhile, sire Lope De Vega's offspring on the all-weather boast a 19% better than expected strike rate.
VERNE CASTLE tops BTO+ ratings heading into the contest. During the winter, Andrew Balding's charge thrived on the all-weather and racked up a double at Lingfield in February, with his last success coming by a commanding three quarters of a length. However, Verne Castle has not tasted victory since and his effort at Chester last time out was slightly underwhelming. Assessing the son of Sakhee's Secret's CV, suggest he'll prefer being back on the Polytrack with the gelding bragging a 140% better than expected win rate on the surface.
This year's Wokingham winner OUT DO bids to win a much less lucrative race. David O'Meara's gelding was a brilliant half a length victor of the Royal Ascot handicap under a fine ride by Danny Tudhope. The son of Exceed And Excel has failed to place in his subsequent two runs, but they were in strong competition in the City Walls Stakes and Great St Wilfrid Handicap at York and Ripon respectively when carrying a five-pound penalty for his Royal win. The handicapper has kept Out Do on a mark of 104, although Tudhope has a 93% better than expected strike rate over today's track and trip.
SOLOMON'S BAY is an interesting runner for Roger Varian. Just one of two three year olds in the race - along with TOP SCORE - Varian's runner could still be improving. Solomon's Bay was regarded highly enough to race in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot, although he could only muster a 16th place finish. There have been two respectable fourth and third placed efforts from the son of Exceed And Excel subsequently, but he might need to show more of a battle-hardened attitude at Kempton. Silvestre de Sousa takes the reins and boasts a 15% better than expected win rate when teaming up with Varian.
Top Score displayed a decent level of form in Dubai during the winter. Saeed bin Suroor's charge racked up a double at Meydan, with his latter victory coming in Listed company. There hasn't been much from Top Score since returning to Britain, but a run on the Polytrack could spark the gelding into life.
Connections of DOUGAN will be craving a victory after 11 blank efforts. David Evans' runner is off a mark of 97 on the all-weather - two pounds lower than his last run on the surface. The five year old was a half a length third in a Doncaster handicap last time out and the gelding shows a 164% better than expected win rate on the Polytrack.
Article Posted on Wednesday 11th October 2017 @ 07.30
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