The Sodexo Prestige Venues And Events Killiecrankie Handicap Chase takes centre stage at Perth and the betting suggests the five-runner race will be competitive
THEO bids to continue his impressive run of form and tops BTO+ ratings going into the contest. Dr Richard Newland's charge is currently riding a five-race winning streak since arriving at his new trainer's yard from Ireland and has rocketed up the handicap by 31 pounds. Theo was in the winner's enclosure nine days ago at Perth where he recorded a sumptuous performance. The son of Westerner cruised to a 21-length victory at the Scottish circuit with success never looking in doubt. The handicapper has been tough on the seven year old by raised him by a stone in the ratings. However, Theo could still be ahead of his mark and Newland has been in flying form of late, boasting a 31% better than expected strike rate in the past two weeks.
HAMMERSLY LAKE has to give weight away all round to the field. The son of Kapgarde displayed ability early in his career and, after a poor run of form, seems to have again hit the ground running. Hammersly Lake racked up a double at Huntingdon and Haydock respectively when trained by Nicky Henderson before he switched to Charlie Longsdon's yard earlier this season. The nine year old has been desperately unlucky for his next trainer and has been forced to play bridesmaid on his last two outing. Despite not winning, Hammersly Lake has still be raised five pounds by the handicapper and the gelding might find it tough off his new mark. Brian Hughes takes the reins and he shows a 12% better than expected win rate at the circuit.
MASTER DEE is an ultra-consistent performer for Fergal O'Brien. The eight year old has not finished out of the top two in his past seven starts since joining O'Brien from Donald McCain. However, the son of King's Theatre is coming off an almost nine-month absence at Perth after finishing a half-a-length second in a novices' chase at Leicester. The break could affect him but Master Dee is still unexposed being a second-season chaser and might still improve further. The gelding has five positives on BTO+ ratings with one being O'Brien's win rate at today's course and distance, a superb 139% better than expected.
GUITAR PETE has never hit the same heights over fences as he did hurdles. The son of Dark Angel was a Grade One winning juvenile hurdler at Aintree a few years ago but his career of larger obstacles has been contrasting. He's rated just 125 over fences, 11 pounds lower than his mark over timber. Guitar Pete could arguably be well handicapped makes his first chase start for Nicky Richards. The Cumbria trainer also boasts a 34% better than expected strike rate at the course and distance.
NOTARFBAD is the outsider of the field but will have the services of champion jockey Richard Johnson. He was well beaten at Worcester last time out but two starts ago the son of Alderbrook was third at Perth over two and a half miles. Notarfbad has been dropped one pound but will need to improve significantly.
Article Posted on Monday 11th September 2017 @ 09.25
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