BeforeTheOff.com uses cookies.
By continuing to use this website you imply consent to cookies being used.
For more information see our Privacy Policy

Already A Member? Login Now!




Forgot Username/Password?

Remember Me

JOIN NOW FOR FREEGet FREE BTO Plus+ Cards daily
& subscribe for full BTO+ access.

Create A New Account

WHAT IS BTO Plus+?Get a crash course in why BTO Plus+ should
be your new go-to for the best racing data

Learn About BTO Plus+
TM
  • Detailed trainer stats with profit pointers
  • Vital speed figures from latest runs
  • BTO+ ratings from thousands of variables
  • Thousands of races analysed for positive trends
  • Crucial course pace bias statistics
  • Unique pace maps for every race
  • Essential 1-2-3 shortlist for best value betting
With BTO Plus+

National Winners Tough to Pick Posted on Wednesday 9th August 2017 @ 13.14

The Grand National remains the most popular race of the year and one that sees the betting shops packed to the rafters with customers.

Most will come away empty-handed as the bookies fill their boots with the hard-earned cash of one-off punters who like to bet on the name of a horse or other unscientific methods.

Now and again it will come off and the bookmakers will take a hit, with half of Scotland seemingly backing this year’s Scottish winner, One For Arthur.

But it remains possibly the toughest race in which to predict a winner both for the bookmakers and punters.

There are a number of reasons for this and the obvious one is the length of the race at four miles 514 yards and the height of the 30 fences at Aintree.

Form prior to a race is usually critical but it seems to go out of the window on Merseyside with so many variables – another being the number of horses in the field and the possibility of being hampered by a loose horse.

There is also little point in following the favourite as the favourite or joint-favourite has won only nine times in the post-war era.

Therefore, it does appear to be a bit of lottery for bookies to price up the runners in order to come out on top and the horse racing news at Bethut is the place to go for all the best information in the build-up to the race.

But there are a few pointers to follow when it comes to trying to pick a National winner and the weight of the horse is important.

It is best to steer clear of a horse that carries over 11st03lb in weight as they rarely win, despite recent exceptions Many Clouds (11st09lb) Neptune Collonges (11st6lb).

Only horses experienced at running over three miles or more can be expected to challenge for honours as the stamina-sapping nature of the race separates the men from the boys, while the age of the animals is also a pointer to success.

Recent winners Neptune Collonges, Auroras Encore and Pineau de Re were all aged 11, while Ballabriggs and Don't Push It were 10-year-old winners.

Five winners since 2010 have been aged 10 or more but the general consensus is that it is best to back a nine or 10-year-old in the race.

French trained horses can be ruled out as it is more than a century since one trained across the Channel took the race.

Having looked at the various aspects of the race and the way in which bookies might try to predict the winner, the one thing a horse must have in the National is luck.

All the variables might combine to give an animal a good chance but one poor jump over the unforgiving obstacles and it is all over.

Many favourites have perished when coming unstuck at the famous fences or have been taken out by another horse and the unpredictability of the steeplechase makes it so appealing to viewers.

Bookmakers will win some and lose some but, when it comes to the Grand National, there will be a lot of finger crossing and looking to the heavens as the greatest race of all gets under way.

Article Posted on Wednesday 9th August 2017 @ 13.14

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account


Subscribe To BTO Plus+

More Show/Hide

EVERY BTO+ Race card EVERY day

Revolutionary race informationfor both casual and serious punters

LOGIN TO SUBSCRIBE

* Your subscription will automatically renew to avoid interruption of service. You can cancel at any time.

Starting Gate

More
newbury22-03-19 Be Wiser Insurance Novices' Hurdle2m 4f 118y - £6238 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Dashel Drasher9/2

2 Breaking Waves7/2

3 Morning Vicar7/4

4 Remastered7/2

5 Anniversary Gift50/1

6 Getaway Mission100/1

7 Muddle Thinking100/1

8 Pres100/1

9 Smith's Bay11/1

10 The Wolf7/1

musselburgh22-03-19 Follow Racing TV On Twitter Novices' Hurdle2m 3f 171y - £4289 - Good-good to soft in places

1 Morraman7/2

2 Tight Call8/13

3 Dr Hooves10/1

4 Grey Mist10/1

5 Sebastian's Wish50/1

6 Animore6/1

lingfield22-03-19 Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Handicap1m - £3752 - Standard

1 Little Rock6/1

2 On The Line5/1

3 Toybox16/1

4 Isle of Wolves33/1

5 Mitigator50/1

6 Prince Llyr16/1

7 Azets4/5

8 Dancing Jo9/2

9 Redemptive20/1

10 Sussex Solo200/1

newbury22-03-19 Be Wiser Insurance Handicap Chase2m 6f 93y - £7153 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Graceful Legend4/1

2 Le Boizelo12/1

3 Valadom6/1

4 Tanit River11/1

5 Carnspindle8/1

6 Valhalla13/2

7 Master Burbidge12/1

8 Voie Dans Voie5/2

9 Calivigny9/1

musselburgh22-03-19 Join Racing TV Now Handicap Hurdle2m - £3314 - Good-good to soft in places

1 Wot A Shot9/2

2 Weapon Of Choice15/2

3 Gemologist7/2

4 Classic Seniority10/1

5 Wor Verge33/1

6 Great Colaci10/1

7 Elysian Prince14/1

8 Newstart22/1

9 Oromo10/1

10 Fillydelphia20/1

11 Side Of The Road10/1

12 Farlam King15/2

13 Rioja Day12/1

14 My Valentino20/1

lingfield22-03-19 Betway Handicap 6f 1y - £3105 - Standard

1 Beepeecee10/1

2 Tavener10/3

3 At Your Service5/1

4 Fiery Breath10/1

5 Quick Recovery16/1

6 Catheadans Fury18/1

7 Red Invader10/1

8 Falcao11/2

9 Spirit Of Zebedee3/1

10 Nelson's Hill125/1

11 Canimar10/1

12 Noble Deed100/1

newbury22-03-19 Irwin Mitchell Private Wealth Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)3m - £4549 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Sliding Doors17/2

2 Notachance4/1

3 Sackett8/1

4 Dan Emmett25/1

5 Desert Sensation12/1

6 Reallyradical7/1

7 Present Times18/1

8 Three Star General8/1

9 His Dream9/1

10 Avantgardist9/2

11 Sheila's Fancy14/1

12 Agincourt Reef25/1

13 Mossing25/1

musselburgh22-03-19 Scotmid 160th Jump Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap)2m 4f 68y - £5588 - Good-good to soft in places

1 Wishfull Dreaming13/8

2 Elmono9/2

3 Sporting Press10/1

4 Boy's On Tour7/1

5 The Road Home9/2

6 King Golan5/1

Latest Results

More

LudlowG C Rickards Standard Open NH Flat Race

18Floressa2/1
27Shantou Express6/4
31Shanroe8/1
Winning TrainerN J Henderson
Winning JockeyNico de Boinville
Runners8 ran
Distances1 1/4 length, 2 lengths
Tote Win£2.60
Pl£1.10, £2.70
EX£5.50
Trifecta£26.10
CSF£5.50
StatusWeighedIn

ChepstowFaucets Delivering New Rada Products In 2019 Open Hunters' Chase

12Double Ross11/8
25Sausalito SunriseEvs
31Kelvingrove6/1
Winning TrainerN A Twiston-Davies
Winning JockeyMr Z Baker
Runners5 ran
Distances3 1/2 lengths, 3/4 length
Tote Win£2.10
Pl£1.20, £1.10
EX£3.00
Trifecta£6.60
CSF£3.34
StatusWeighedIn

CorkRacing Home For Easter Festival Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race

19Roseys Hollow13/2
26Miss Cedille7/1
31Another Copper20/1
Winning TrainerJonathan Sweeney
Winning JockeyMiss E A Lalor
Runners15 ran
Distances3 3/4 lengths, 24 lengths
Tote Win£7.60
Pl£2.10, £2.90, £7.60
EX£57.30
Trifecta£1751.70
CSF£52.13
StatusWeighedIn

SedgefieldDownload The MansionBet App Handicap Chase

13Late Date13/8
21Djin ContiEvs
32Fly Rory Fly4/1
Winning TrainerMicky Hammond
Winning JockeyA P Cawley
Runners3 ran
Distances1 3/4 length, 30 lengths
Tote Win£2.40
Pl
EX£3.70
Trifecta£4.60
CSF£3.70
StatusWeighedIn

LudlowEric Roper 90th Celebration Open Hunters' Chase

11Arthur's Secret8/15 f
27Sam Cavallaro20/1
38Dissertation66/1
Winning TrainerM H Weston
Winning JockeyMiss A P Banks
Runners6 ran
Distances43 lengths, 14 lengths
Tote Win£1.30
Pl£1.10, £6.80
EX£11.10
Trifecta£69.80
CSF£10.78
StatusWeighedIn

ChepstowIrish Thoroughbred Marketing Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race

11Subway Surf4/7 f
215Vienna Court5/1
34Golden Emblem20/1
Winning TrainerK C Bailey
Winning JockeyM Hamill
Runners14 ran
Distances5 lengths, 1/2 length
Tote Win£1.40
Pl£1.10, £1.80, £6.70
EX£4.40
Trifecta£58.50
CSF£3.50
StatusWeighedIn

CorkUCC Don't Step On The Crest Handicap Hurdle

16Ronald Pump5/1
25Elwood16/1
311Bitsandpieces5/1
Winning TrainerMatthew J Smith
Winning JockeyP Townend
Runners14 ran
Distances4 1/2 lengths, 7 1/2 lengths
Tote Win£5.70
Pl£2.40, £4.50, £1.70
EX£75.40
Trifecta£1711.40
CSF£86.47
StatusWeighedIn

SedgefieldHappy 60th Birthday Ian McGlade Handicap Hurdle

17Lammturner6/1
22Strike West5/1
31Point N Shoot7/1
Winning TrainerMiss J E Foster
Winning JockeyHenry Brooke
Runners7 ran
Distances3 1/2 lengths, 9 lengths
Tote Win£7.30
Pl£2.80, £2.00
EX£36.80
Trifecta£161.00
CSF£33.28
StatusWeighedIn