With Arc day on the horizon, we look at the chances of all of this year's UK and Irish runners in Paris on Sunday.
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Prix Marcel Boussac
Trained by Jessica Harrington, Albigna was a Group 2 winner at the Curragh earlier in the campaign. While she disappointed in the Moyglare when stepped up in class and trip last time out, she didn’t get a clear run at a crucial stage in that contest. There’s every chance she will appreciate more cut in the ground given her sire’s (Zoffany) liking for testing conditions. Must have a favourites chance with Group form already in the form book and improvement likely.
Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere
Progressing through the ranks, winning at Group 3 and 2 level already prior to bumping into ante post 2,000 Guineas favourite Pinatubo last time out. The step up in trip is almost guaranteed to suit this son of Galileo and he surely won’t mind some soft in the going description, having won his maiden on good to yielding back in June. Has the strongest form coming into this but the highly regarded Andre Fabre runner Victor Ludorum finds himself at the head of the market having made light work of a decent race at Chantilly last time, showing a very impressive turn of foot.
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe
Has four wins from six starts but disappointed when 1/3 fav for the Prix Ganay in April, too keen in the early stages. Couldn’t have won any more impressively in a German Group 1 last time out when stepped up to this trip but that form is hard to gauge; wide draw (12) not ideal.
Superstar mare who bids for an 11th Group 1 success and an unprecedented third successive Arc. Won what was probably a stronger renewal of this race last year and that was with a poor preparation having missed most of the season. Has looked as good as ever so far this campaign, she’s relatively versatile with regards to ground conditions and as her odds (4/6) suggest, she has an excellent chance of sealing her remarkable career with another win at the highest level.
A high-class filly who gained a second Group 1 success for the season in the Irish Champion Stakes last time out. Has faced Enable on four occasions, finishing runner-up on three of those starts but she’s got within a length on a couple of occasions and there’s no doubting she’s better than her 10th placed finish in this race last year. A solid each-way contender at double figure odds (11/1).
Progressive profile coming into this race, placed in the Derby prior to rattling off a trio of Group wins including a course and distance success in the Grand Prix de Paris. Arguably a career best in the Juddmonte International last time out but he must find more improvement to mix it with the likes of Enable and stablemate Magical. Interesting that he’s the choice of stable jockey Ryan Moore though and he seems to appreciate plenty of cut in the ground. Interesting contender considering his weight for age allowance (three-year-olds have won 18 of the last 25 renewals of this).
Prix de l’Opera
Landed a Listed race at Navan on seasonal bow and well backed prior to finishing runner up in the Oaks. Progress has come to an abrupt halt subsequently though and she was beaten a long way over course and distance in the Prix Vermeille last time out. Has plenty to prove at present but it’s interesting she’s the pick of Moore at least.
Could hardly have been more impressive when bolting up in a Classic trial at Chester and got a luckless run in the Oaks next time out. Gained minor compensation when winning at Saint Cloud (Group 2) next time and probably found the ground on the quick side when runner-up at Goodwood in August. A step back up in trip on softer ground looks ideal and an ante post price of 2/1 for this contest looks entirely fair.
Lightly raced stablemate of Mehdaayih who gained Group 2 success at Deauville on just her third start last time. That’s probably not the strongest race for the grade and the market leaders underperformed in that contest. As jockey bookings suggest, the yard have stronger claims with Mehdaayih.
Denied a hat-trick by a progressive sort from Dermot Weld’s yard last time out but clearly going the right way and both a step up in trip and some cut in the ground should see this daughter of Camelot to better effect. Has a bit to find on ratings but she’s got a nice draw and few ride this track as well as Christophe Soumillon. Could represent some each-way value at double figure odds.
Group 2 winner as a juvenile and impressive when making up a lot of ground from the rear of the field in the Oaks. Hasn’t really built on that subsequently but she’ll be doing all her best work in the finish and she’s not without each-way claims, particularly if they set decent fractions in the first half of the race.
Prix de l’Abbaye
A hugely talented sprinter who put up a career best when breaking the track record at York last time out in the Nunthorpe. Won this race in 2017 and beaten less than a length in last year’s renewal. Sometimes fractious in the preliminaries earlier in his career but those days seemingly behind him now and it’s no surprise to see him odds on here.
Only beaten a neck in this race last year as a two-year-old but hasn’t managed to add to his Group 2 success from over a year ago. Tends to run his race and only beaten two lengths in Group 1 company at the Curragh last time out but he probably only has place claims at best.
Creditable sprinter but probably better on quick ground and/or six furlongs. Not disgraced when third in the Flying Five last time out but vulnerable in this deeper contest.
Won a valuable handicap at York earlier this year but no obvious signs he’s up to this sort of level and he’s better over further than this.
Creditable sort with a strike-rate of 25% and he’s a game front runner who can be hard to peg back. However, he’s not been at his best in recent starts and he’s generally vulnerable at this sort of level; may be up to running a big race if he can bag the rail.
Career best to win this last year and she put up a good weight carrying performance in a Group 3 at Newmarket on her return. While she’s been a little out of sorts since, she’s saved her best form for the end of the campaign in recent years and this yard do very well with their sprinters.
Arrives bidding for a hat-trick after a course and distance success in a Group 3 last time out. Less exposed than plenty in here and it would be no surprise if we are yet to see the best of her.
Group 3 winner at Naas earlier in the campaign and just about a career best when runner-up behind reopposing stablemate Fairyland at the Curragh last time. More needed here though and she’s coming to the end of a long campaign.
Shades Of Blue
Seemingly doesn’t know how to run a bad race and she was only narrowly denied by Glass Slippers when sent off favourite for a course and distance Group 3 here last time out. Sizable step up in class here but there’s probably more to come and five furlongs on soft ground could be her optimum conditions.
Cheveley Park winner last year and got back to that sort of level when winning the Flying Five at the Curragh last month with several of these in behind. Hasn’t looked quite as effective with cut in the ground though.
Prix De La Foret
French Guineas runner-up here last year and a course and distance Prix Du Palais-Royal winner earlier in the season. Ran with credit in a pair of Group 2 contests prior to disappointing at Newbury last time out, doing too much too soon. Each-way claims back at a venue he shows his best form.
A four-time Group 2 winner who was back to his best when winning at Doncaster last time out. A specialist over this trip and ran well in this contest last year but his best form is on quicker ground than what he gets here.
Prolific at Haydock, winning each of his four starts at that venue and most impressive when landing a hat-trick in a Group 3 back in June. Fair form in two starts since with a pair of third placed finishes at Group 2 level. More needed here but conditions in his favour and the booking of Frankie Dettori is eye-catching.
Career best when winning the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes at Newbury last time and still relatively lightly raced. Effective when he gets his conditions, as he ought to again here and he won’t be far away if he can eke out some more improvement.
Speak In Colours
Group 3 winner at the Curragh last time out, though that wouldn’t appear to be the strongest race for the grade with the runner-up rated just 96. Likely vulnerable back at this trip.
Won this race last year when it turned into a dash for home at the two-furlong pole. Showed there was no fluke about that when third in the Queen Anne earlier this season and far from disgraced when a staying on fifth in a Deauville Group 1 last time out. Seven furlongs on soft ground could prove to be her optimum and she can’t be ruled out in her bid for back-to-back wins in the race.
Forever In Dreams
Not beaten far in the Queen Mary as a juvenile and landed a Listed race at Haydock back in May. Well positioned when runner-up back at the Royal meeting in the Commonwealth Cup and she failed to back that up when well beaten in the Sprint Cup back at Haydock last time. Needs to improve for the step up in trip here.
Article Posted on Wednesday 9th October 2019 @ 10.23
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