uses cookies.
By continuing to use this website you imply consent to cookies being used.
For more information see our Privacy Policy

Already A Member? Login Now!

Forgot Username/Password?

Remember Me

& subscribe for full BTO+ access.

Create A New Account

WHAT IS BTO Plus+?Get a crash course in why BTO Plus+ should
be your new go-to for the best racing data

Learn About BTO Plus+
  • Detailed trainer stats with profit pointers
  • Vital speed figures from latest runs
  • BTO+ ratings from thousands of variables
  • Thousands of races analysed for positive trends
  • Crucial course pace bias statistics
  • Unique pace maps for every race
  • Essential 1-2-3 shortlist for best value betting
With BTO Plus+

Why punters must embrace the speed ratings revolutionPosted on Friday 14th October 2016 @ 19.38

Bobby Musson takes a look at the sophisticated approach to betting that has finally brought the game into the modern era.

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account

First published in 1996, Nick Mordin revealed an incredibly revolutionary method of picking the fastest horse in a race; it was called Mordin On Time.

Having proclaimed on the front cover the vast profit he has obtained from such a method, one would expect this book to look identical to the leather bound, grail diary in Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade; it pains me to say it unfortunately doesn’t!

Mordin has, in fact, created what many pro-punters and avid followers of the game believe to be the best example of a priceless, modern day artefact to date, as his work has created a formula with which a speed-rating can be collated for each individual horse.

The notion of punters requiring data to determine the ‘quickest’ horse in a race seems a fairly obvious assumption to make although, as you would expect, bookmakers are clearly of the opinion that they would rather that particularly helpful information remain under wraps for eternity, presumably guarded by a near 2000 year old knight and a series of booby traps!

As Mordin’s work trickled slower than expected into the industry, the vast majority of the racing public continued to remain in the dark, indeed hurling yet more money down the drain and greatly in need of a much overdue foothold - at this stage the much desired equitable relationship between punter and bookie was still pie in the sky.

It’s only now with the assistance of modern day advocates of the speed-figure movement that things are beginning to change and the sophisticated information much more noticeably craved by the betting public.

So what is a speed-rating and how is it calculated?

Mordin’s approach (which is quite a good name for a horse, incidentally) sets out to tag each racehorse with a number, for example 76. This number is the end result of a series of calculations all explained in depth throughout the book, but suffice as to say a race winning time, which currently seems the pinnacle of mainstream information, actually says nothing of those who finished in behind the winner and certainly cannot be used in comparison to races at different venues.

Admittedly the stopwatch will give us an indication of the level of performance but the betting fraternity will always desire more cross-comparable data in a simple double-digit format, such a ‘figure’ symbolises a more concise conclusion regarding the horse's performance in spite of the ground conditions on the day, the idiosyncrasies of the track and, if we then get into sectional/split times, whether or not the pace-bias assisted the figure on the clock.

It’s all well and good when trawling through a newspaper that's covered in coffee and flapping around in the wind to see that ‘Horse A’ finished second at Windsor on debut to a well-punted Godolphin two-year-old on good to firm ground, but how do you compare that animal priced at Even money with ‘Horse B’, who finished fifth on soft ground in a maiden at Leicester and is 11/2 in comparison: here the speed-ratings very much come into their own and can be gold dust when using them regularly.

BTO Plus+ offers speed-ratings on a daily basis and it is hoped that they continue to give bookmakers a less than comfortable ride on Qipco British Champions' Day and on into the forthcoming National Hunt season. Nick Mordin’s work should be not only be applauded for ingenuity but also employed as a fundamental starting point for all budding racegoers and with that foundation in place there is certainly hope for us all.

[Bobby Musson]

Article Posted on Friday 14th October 2016 @ 19.38

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account

Subscribe To BTO Plus+

More Show/Hide

EVERY BTO+ Race card EVERY day

Revolutionary race informationfor both casual and serious punters


* Your subscription will automatically renew to avoid interruption of service. You can cancel at any time.

Latest Results


CurraghGalileo Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2)

11Armory4/6 f
27Rebel Tale50/1
Winning TrainerA P O'Brien
Winning JockeyR L Moore
Runners8 ran
Distances3/4 length, 1 length
Tote Win

GoodwoodLadbrokes Handicap

12Blame It On Sally7/4
23Whistler Bowl5/6
34Sea Art9/1
Winning TrainerSir Mark Prescott
Winning JockeyRyan Tate
Runners5 ran
Distances4 lengths, 8 lengths
Tote Win£2.50
Pl£1.40, £1.10

KillarneyJohn J. Galvin & Sons Novice Chase

13Brahma Bull5/2
24Robin De Carlow4/7
32Westland Row7/1
Winning TrainerW P Mullins
Winning JockeyD J Mullins
Runners5 ran
Distances3 lengths, 15 lengths
Tote Win£3.10
Pl£1.60, £1.02

SalisburyLongines Irish Champions Weekend EBF Stonehenge Stakes (Listed)

14Mohican Heights6/1
31Berlin Tango7/2
Winning TrainerD M Simcock
Winning JockeyJ P Spencer
Runners6 ran
Distances2 lengths, 3/4 length
Tote Win£6.00
Pl£3.00, £2.90

Chelmsford CityExtra Places At Handicap

16Sharp Talk25/1
29Dutch Story9/2
Winning TrainerS L Keightley
Winning JockeyJosephine Gordon
Runners12 ran
Distances3/4 length, 2 lengths
Tote Win£37.80
Pl£7.70, £1.80, £2.40

CurraghDebutante Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)

11Alpine Star2/1
25Petite Mustique9/1
37Soul Search10/1
Winning TrainerMrs J Harrington
Winning JockeyS Foley
Runners9 ran
DistancesShort Head, 3/4 length
Tote Win£2.70
Pl£1.20, £2.90, £2.80

GoodwoodLevin Down Handicap

12Green Power4/1
37Show Stealer7/1
Winning TrainerJ Gallagher
Winning JockeyHector Crouch
Runners7 ran
DistancesNose, Neck
Tote Win£4.80
Pl£2.10, £2.20

KillarneyPlaza Hotel Beginners Chase

13Due Reward4/6 f
25Jack Dillinger11/2
34Ivanovich Gorbatov12/1
Winning TrainerH de Bromhead
Winning JockeyRachael Blackmore
Runners10 ran
Distances6 1/2 lengths, 26 lengths
Tote Win£1.50
Pl£1.02, £1.60, £1.70

Starting Gate

salisbury Edwards Ford Foray Motor Group Handicap 6f 213y - £3738 - Good

1 Jungle Juice14/1

2 James Park Woods11/4

3 Just My Type10/3

4 Balata Bay8/1

5 Deference14/1

6 Quarry Beach5/1

7 Song of The Isles16/1

8 Hey Ho Let's Go5/1

killarney BoyleSports Handicap Chase (Grade B)2m 4f 180y - £29500 - Good (Good to Yielding in places)

1 Ballyoisin5/2

2 The West's Awake10/1

3 Last Goodbye11/1

4 Deans Road11/1

5 Valseur Lido15/2

6 Camlann15/2

7 Internal Transfer15/2

8 Rock The World10/1

9 Draycott Place16/1

10 Lakemilan6/1

11 Nearly Nama'd16/1

12 Supreme Vinnie28/1

13 Reach Up25/1

goodwood British European Breeders Fund Supports Racing Welfare Fillies' Handicap1m - £9452 - Good (Good to Soft in places)

1 Hateya7/1

2 Infanta Isabella7/2

3 Ghaziyah2/1

4 Audarya4/1

5 Loolwah4/1

curragh Irish EBF Supporting Irish Champions Weekend Fillies Handicap1m 4f - £17700 - Yielding

1 Morga50/1

2 Rovetta14/1

3 Too Precious40/1

4 Altair13/2

5 Aera4/1

6 Ciao6/1

7 Kastasa2/1

8 Hayyel10/1

9 Monty's Miracle50/1

10 Cuban Surfer11/2

11 Effernock Fizz100/1

chelmsford city Lilian Thompson 'Best Mum' Optional Claiming Handicap1m - £19407 - Standard

1 Seniority15/8

2 Salateen28/1

3 Zwayyan7/2

4 Breden16/1

5 Another Batt20/1

6 Love Dreams12/1

7 Star Of Southwold5/2

8 Azzeccagarbugli25/1

9 Glory Awaits25/1

salisbury Venture Security Handicap1m 6f 44y - £3738 - Good

1 Sufi10/1

2 Fields Of Fortune8/1

3 Cambric10/11

4 Cogital5/1

5 Victoriano7/2

6 Camakasi50/1

7 Bostonian40/1

8 Threediamondrings100/1

killarney Beaufort Golf Club (Pro/Am) Flat Race2m 1f - £6797 - Good (Good to Yielding in places)

1 Bentham5/1

2 Cabin Hill5/1

3 Feux De Bois15/8

4 Celine Soprano9/1

5 Roman Dylan28/1

6 Harrison Line5/2

7 Wilcos Storm40/1

curragh TRM Calphormin Handicap (45-75) 6f 63y - £6797 - Yielding

1 Ducky Mallon12/1

2 Kodiqueen8/1

3 Dandyman Port16/1

4 Evasive Power50/1

5 Rattling Jewel16/1

6 So Familiar50/1

7 Shore Step22/1

8 Enter The Red14/1

9 Polly Douglas12/1

10 Drumquina12/1

11 Goodnite Irina33/1

12 Tai Sing Yeh9/1

13 Barend Boy40/1

14 Fridtjof Nansen16/1

15 Tracker Saga33/1

16 Blacklooks7/1

17 Red Phoenix50/1

18 Mazeo Lad50/1

19 Miacomet10/1

20 Face Off16/1

21 French25/1

22 Comhghairdeas22/1

23 Baby Power12/1

24 Tony's Rocket66/1

25 Anythingyouwantobe10/1

26 Hell Left Loose66/1

27 Paved Paradise25/1

28 Talk Now66/1

29 Kareva100/1

30 Countess Matilda66/1

31 Texas Radio66/1