BeforeTheOff.com uses cookies.
By continuing to use this website you imply consent to cookies being used.
For more information see our Privacy Policy

Already A Member? Login Now!




Forgot Username/Password?

Remember Me

JOIN NOW FOR FREEGet FREE BTO Plus+ Cards daily
& subscribe for full BTO+ access.

Create A New Account

WHAT IS BTO Plus+?Get a crash course in why BTO Plus+ should
be your new go-to for the best racing data

Learn About BTO Plus+
TM
  • Detailed trainer stats with profit pointers
  • Vital speed figures from latest runs
  • BTO+ ratings from thousands of variables
  • Thousands of races analysed for positive trends
  • Crucial course pace bias statistics
  • Unique pace maps for every race
  • Essential 1-2-3 shortlist for best value betting
With BTO Plus+

Who is the best Ballydoyle Derby bet?Posted on Thursday 2nd June 2016 @ 08.09

Will Rooney examines whether US Army Ranger should be the shortest price of Aidan O'Brien's Epsom Derby contenders.

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account

The Epsom Derby is the crown jewel of British Flat racing and is the prize every Flat trainer dreams about winning when they first take up their licence.

The race is watched by millions at home and across the globe and consistently produces superstars in the equine world - the likes of Shergar, Mill Reef, Galileo and Sea The Stars have all won the contest on the Downs emphatically and became legends of the sport.

This time last year, Golden Horn was all the rage heading into the contest. He was the final piece to what was a murky Derby picture when he swept past stablemate Jack Hobbs in the Dante Stakes at York in imposing style and was even more impressive one month later at the Surrey track.

However, 12 months on and, just days until the big race, deciding on a winner is still problematic. There is no stand-out star amongst the three-year-olds, unlike in recent years when Golden Horn, Australia and Camelot all duly obliged as the betting market suggested.

The Derby has been happy hunting ground for Aidan O'Brien. The Ballydoyle handler has trained five Derby winners since 2001. His first Derby winner, Galileo, has proved pivotal for him and the Coolmore trio of Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith and John Magnier, with the son of Saddler's Well being the sire of both Ruler Of The World and Australia, winners of the race in 2013 and 2014 respectively.

There's no surprise that O'Brien and a son of Galileo head the betting for this year's renewal. Whilst the racing world's attention was fixed on the heroics of Sprinter Sacre and Thistlecrack during the winter, the County Wexford man was slowly but surely nurturing US Army Ranger into a Derby horse.

Silence turned into whispers and then whispers into a rumour that had more substance than Louis Van Gaal's inevitable departure from Manchester United. US Army Ranger was the horse O'Brien had the highest hopes for to win the Derby - and that was before he had even seen a racecourse.

US Army Ranger made his debut at the Curragh in April and produced a highly impressive performance to beat an odds-on Dermot Weld horse. What was more taking was that an O'Brien horse won first time out. Generally, he likes to mature them slowly - and who can blame him given his glittering resume he boasts - but US Army Ranger more than lived up to the hype.

The Chester Vase was up next for the colt. Arguably the toughest racecourse either side of the Irish Sea, given its short home straight that suits speed horses rather than stayers, US Army Ranger clung on for victory in receipt of four pounds from stablemate Port Douglas. He was far from convincing that day and, although the Coolmore team were pleased given his inexperience, he did not scream out that he was a Derby winner in the making.

US Army Ranger is currently around a 4/1 shot for the Derby and looks to mirror Ruler Of The World's heroics three years ago, who also won the Chester Vase before subsequently landing the Epsom Classic.

However, Ruler Of The World won the Chester Vase by six lengths without getting out of third gear and was sent-off 7/1 for the Derby, whereas US Army Ranger is already three points shorter in the betting and with more to prove. It's also worth noting that it was just Ruler Of The World's second start when winning on the Roodee but he looked like a much more mature horse than US Army Ranger.

On bare form, Port Douglas should be shorter than US Army Ranger but instead is 12 points bigger his stablemate. Port Douglas' two-year-old form is fairly solid, having won a Group 2 in Ireland ahead of Beacon Rock, who's trained on himself for O'Brien this term, and was just five-and-a-half lengths behind Marcel in the Racing Post Trophy on unsuitably soft ground.

Port Douglas could well have won the Chester Vase but for losing the rail on the run for home and should come on plenty for his first run of the season. He's a son of Galileo out of Walzerkoenigin, a former Group 2 winner in Germany for trainer Peter Schiergen, so could have both the stamina and speed which is needed to win the race.

Deauville too should come on from his first start of the season. He too is a top of the ground horse who did not handle the soft conditions at Doncaster in the Racing Post Trophy like Port Douglas but got within half-a-length of John Gosden's Foundation in the Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes last season.

He had to play bridesmaid to another Gosden horse, Wings Of Desire, in his first start of the season in the Dante Stakes last month. Deauville shaped nicely throughout the race and was just scalped in the closing stages by Wings Of Desire, who had the benefit of two runs previously.

The Dante is so often the strongest form heading into the Derby and this year was no different. He reversed form with Foundation, who was race fit, by one-and-a-half lengths and also had previous ante-post favourite Midterm well in behind.

Being a son of Galileo out of Walklikeanegyptian, he is a full brother to The Corsican, who finished fourth in last year's Prince of Wales's Stakes at Royal Ascot and, by the look of his Dante run, should have no problem stepping up to 1m4f.

And what about Shogun, who can still be backed at 33/1 with some firms? He ran no sort of race last time out in the Irish 2,000 Guineas but, on his previous start, he ate up the ground in the closing stages on a better surface in the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial at Leopardstown to finish second and he should relish the step up in trip.

O'Brien produced one of the biggest shocks in recent years to win the Oaks with 50/1 shot Qualify 12 months ago and it would be no surprise, given his training abilities, if one of his runners weaker in the market ends up in the winners' enclosure.

Whether a US Army Ranger fan or not, the fact is that he does not warrant being the market favourite and arguably is not even O'Brien's main protagonist for the 216th running of the Epsom Derby.

[Will Rooney]

Article Posted on Thursday 2nd June 2016 @ 08.09

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account


Subscribe To BTO Plus+

More Show/Hide

EVERY BTO+ Race card EVERY day

Revolutionary race informationfor both casual and serious punters

LOGIN TO SUBSCRIBE

* Your subscription will automatically renew to avoid interruption of service. You can cancel at any time.

Latest Results

More

DundalkRace Displays Handicap (45-65)

111Wild Shot8/1
24Latchet9/1
36Sharjah9/1
Winning TrainerN C Kelly
Winning JockeyO J Orr
Runners12 ran
Distances2 1/2 lengths, 1 length
Tote Win£13.00
Pl£2.60, £3.30, £3.00
EX£153.40
Trifecta£897.70
CSF£81.60
StatusWeighedIn

DundalkAnglo Printers Maiden

14Mouriyani13/2
25Pearlman6/4
31Aaron Boy100/1
Winning TrainerD K Weld
Winning JockeyO J Orr
Runners8 ran
Distances1/2 length, 2 1/4 lengths
Tote Win£8.80
Pl£2.20, £1.10, £12.50
EX£28.20
Trifecta£802.30
CSF£18.42
StatusWeighedIn

NewcastleLadbrokes Handicap

16Arishka8/1
25Pinarella8/1
33Kickham Street9/2
Winning TrainerD Kubler
Winning JockeyK T O'Neill
Runners9 ran
Distances3 1/4 lengths, Neck
Tote Win£8.80
Pl£2.40, £2.30, £2.70
EX£70.10
Trifecta£452.70
CSF£70.15
StatusWeighedIn

DundalkPrint Express Apprentice Handicap

16Miss Snossyboots2/1 f
24Itsalonglongroad9/1
35Alcander11/2
Winning TrainerM Halford
Winning JockeyR Coakley
Runners9 ran
Distances1 length, 4 3/4 lengths
Tote Win£2.70
Pl£1.10, £2.10
EX£17.80
Trifecta£75.60
CSF£21.39
StatusWeighedIn

NewcastlePlay 4 To Score At Betway Claiming Stakes

11Alsvinder5/4 f
26Duke Cosimo14/1
35Zapper Cass9/2
Winning TrainerD O'Meara
Winning JockeyD Tudhope
Runners9 ran
Distances3/4 length, 3 3/4 lengths
Tote Win£2.00
Pl£1.10, £2.40, £2.00
EX£26.50
Trifecta£86.80
CSF£22.31
StatusWeighedIn

DundalkMcGeoughs Bar & Restaurant Handicap (45-65)

13Lady Godiva33/1
26Crossingoz7/2
34Mulzamm11/4 f
Winning TrainerL Smyth
Winning JockeyW M Lordan
Runners12 ran
Distances1/2 length, 1/2 length
Tote Win£23.60
Pl£3.10, £1.30, £1.40
EX£364.60
Trifecta
CSF£121.69
StatusWeighedIn

NewcastleFollow Top Tipster Templegate At SunRacing Handicap

112Tiercel33/1
28Chosen World15/8
37Sureyoutoldme14/1
Winning TrainerRebecca Bastiman
Winning JockeyPhil Dennis
Runners12 ran
Distances1/2 length, Head
Tote Win£41.60
Pl£7.60, £1.40, £3.80
EX£183.90
Trifecta£2402.50
CSF£94.66
StatusWeighedIn

DundalkMoffett Engineering Ltd Median Auction Race

14Sky Seven2/1 f
21Invasion Day8/1
32Jupiter Road5/1
Winning TrainerM Halford
Winning JockeyR P Whelan
Runners7 ran
Distances1/2 length, 3/4 length
Tote Win£2.70
Pl£1.40, £3.10
EX£17.50
Trifecta£59.90
CSF£19.06
StatusWeighedIn

Starting Gate

More
bangor-on-dee Lindop Toyota Novices' Hurdle2m - £4094 - Soft-heavy in places

1 Shantaluze-

2 West To The Bridge-

3 Ashutor-

4 Battlebrave-

5 Jones Well-

6 Nineohtwooneoh-

7 Careyanne-

8 Statuario-

kelso EBF/TBA Mares' Novices' Chase2m 5f 133y - £12086 - Good to soft

1 Kalahari Queen2/1

2 Kupatana11/8

3 My Old Gold5/2

4 Tokaramore25/1

lingfield Betway Handicap1m 4f - £3752 - Standard

1 Rakematiz11/2

2 Ace Combat25/1

3 Coorg10/1

4 Sauchiehall Street10/1

5 The Jean Genie8/1

6 Outofthequestion13/2

7 Gendarme6/1

8 Harbour Quay7/1

9 Sotomayor4/1

10 Music Major5/1

newbury Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase3m 1f 214y - £12762 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Joe Farrell6/1

2 Strong Pursuit3/1

3 Ziga Boy12/1

4 Marcilhac33/1

5 Classic Ben4/1

6 Luckofthedraw14/1

7 Grand Vision20/1

8 Rock My Style12/1

9 Kansas City Chief22/1

10 Chic Name7/1

11 Salmanazar10/1

bangor-on-dee attheraces.com Welcomes Bangor-On-Dee Handicap Hurdle2m - £4094 - Soft-heavy in places

1 Shanroe Tic Tec-

2 Snougar-

3 Three County's-

4 Dun Bay Creek-

5 Tigeralley-

6 Twotwothree-

7 Comber Mill-

8 Racing Spirit-

thurles Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle2m - £8008 - Good

1 Kolumbus2/1

2 Bianca Minola9/1

3 Chiavari20/1

4 Brog Ahaon66/1

5 City Limits11/2

6 De Perugino100/1

7 Generalisation11/4

8 He's Ok13/2

9 Mcgill100/1

10 No Pretender100/1

11 State Of Cognac8/1

12 The Artful Roger66/1

13 Yendo12/1

14 Banrion Na Speire100/1

15 Dualla Time25/1

16 Iconic Lady9/1

17 Lady Magdala66/1

18 My Galway Girl50/1

19 Eversosaucy50/1

20 Rathnaleen Tou40/1

21 Jackdaws Lane40/1

kelso Bernhard Lighting Rig Handicap Hurdle2m - £25024 - Good to soft

1 Albert's Back7/1

2 Irish Roe12/1

3 Winston C4/1

4 Champagne City6/1

5 Saint Leo13/2

6 Joke Dancer9/2

7 Aristo Du Plessis25/1

8 Get Out The Gate20/1

9 Beeno50/1

10 Ted Veale18/1

11 Ingleby Hollow11/2

12 Martila14/1

13 Royal Reserve16/1

lingfield Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Novice Stakes1m - £3752 - Standard

1 Fields Of Athenry3/1

2 Metatron5/2

3 Moftris5/2

4 Mohtarrif11/4

5 Power Of You100/1

6 Ritchie Valens13/2

7 Miss Enigma40/1

8 Tsarmina100/1