BeforeTheOff.com uses cookies.
By continuing to use this website you imply consent to cookies being used.
For more information see our Privacy Policy

Already A Member? Login Now!




Forgot Username/Password?

Remember Me

JOIN NOW FOR FREEGet FREE BTO Plus+ Cards daily
& subscribe for full BTO+ access.

Create A New Account

WHAT IS BTO Plus+?Get a crash course in why BTO Plus+ should
be your new go-to for the best racing data

Learn About BTO Plus+
TM
  • Detailed trainer stats with profit pointers
  • Vital speed figures from latest runs
  • BTO+ ratings from thousands of variables
  • Thousands of races analysed for positive trends
  • Crucial course pace bias statistics
  • Unique pace maps for every race
  • Essential 1-2-3 shortlist for best value betting
With BTO Plus+

Why punters must embrace the speed ratings revolutionPosted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Bobby Musson takes a look at the sophisticated approach to betting that has finally brought the game into the modern era.

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account

First published in 1996, Nick Mordin revealed an incredibly revolutionary method of picking the fastest horse in a race. It was called Mordin On Time.

Having proclaimed on the front cover the vast profit he has obtained from such a method, one would expect this book to look identical to the leather bound, grail diary in Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade. It pains me to say it unfortunately doesn't!

Mordin has, in fact, created what many pro-punters and avid followers of the game believe to be the best example of a priceless, modern-day artefact to date, as his work has created a formula with which a speed-rating can be collated for each individual horse.

The notion of punters requiring data to determine the 'quickest' horse in a race seems a fairly obvious assumption to make although, as you would expect, bookmakers are clearly of the opinion that they would rather that particularly helpful information remain under wraps for eternity, presumably guarded by a near 2000-year-old knight and a series of booby traps!

As Mordin's work trickled slower than expected into the industry, the vast majority of the racing public continued to remain in the dark, indeed hurling yet more money down the drain and greatly in need of a much overdue foothold. At this stage the much desired equitable relationship between punter and bookie was still pie in the sky.

It's only now, with the assistance of modern-day advocates of the speed-figure movement, that things are beginning to change with the sophisticated information much more noticeably craved by the betting public.

So what is a speed-rating and how is it calculated?

Mordin's approach (which is quite a good name for a horse, incidentally) sets out to tag each racehorse with a number, for example 76. This number is the end result of a series of calculations all explained in depth throughout the book, but suffice to say a race winning time, which currently seems the pinnacle of mainstream information, actually says nothing of those who finished in behind the winner and certainly cannot be used in comparison to races at different venues.

Admittedly the stopwatch will give us an indication of the level of performance but the betting fraternity will always desire more cross-comparable data in a simple double-digit format. Such a 'figure' symbolises a more concise conclusion regarding the horse's performance in spite of the ground conditions on the day, the idiosyncrasies of the track and, if we then get into sectional/split times, whether or not the pace-bias assisted the figure on the clock.

It's all well and good when trawling through a newspaper that's covered in coffee and flapping around in the wind to see that 'Horse A' finished second at Windsor on debut to a well-punted Godolphin two-year-old on good to firm ground, but how do you compare that animal priced at Even money with 'Horse B', who finished fifth on soft ground in a maiden at Leicester and is 11/2 in comparison? Here the speed-ratings very much come into their own and can be gold dust when using them regularly.

BTO Plus+ offers speed-ratings on a daily basis and it is hoped that they continue to give bookmakers a less than comfortable ride throughout the Spring Festivals and on into the Flat season. Nick Mordin's work should not only be applauded for ingenuity but also employed as a fundamental starting point for all budding racegoers and, with that foundation in place, there is certainly hope for us all.

[Bobby Musson]

Article Posted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account


Subscribe To BTO Plus+

More Show/Hide

EVERY BTO+ Race card EVERY day

Revolutionary race informationfor both casual and serious punters

LOGIN TO SUBSCRIBE

* Your subscription will automatically renew to avoid interruption of service. You can cancel at any time.

Latest Results

More

Chelmsford CityBet In Play totesport.com Handicap

11Matterhorn5/4 f
27Tough Remedy7/1
36Michele Strogoff7/1
Winning TrainerM Johnston
Winning JockeyJ Fanning
Runners7 ran
Distances3 1/4 lengths, 3/4 length
Tote Win£1.80
Pl£1.40, £2.50
EX£9.60
Trifecta£44.50
CSF£11.02
StatusWeighedIn

WolverhamptonFollow Top Tipsters At Sun Racing Handicap

14Blame Culture7/4 f
21Glory of Paris15/2
37Murdanova11/1
Winning TrainerG G Margarson
Winning JockeyDavid Probert
Runners12 ran
DistancesNeck, 1 1/4 length
Tote Win£2.10
Pl£1.20, £1.90, £2.60
EX£14.20
Trifecta
CSF£14.12
StatusWeighedIn

Chelmsford CityIrish Lotto At totesport.com Handicap

13Lucky Deal6/4 f
22Busy Street5/2
35Azari12/1
Winning TrainerM Johnston
Winning JockeyJ Fanning
Runners5 ran
Distances3 lengths, 3 3/4 lengths
Tote Win£2.20
Pl£1.30, £1.70
EX£4.10
Trifecta£14.90
CSF£5.16
StatusWeighedIn

WolverhamptonBetway Novice Stakes

12Poet's Pride8/15 f
21Mr Gent7/2
38Mrs Todd33/1
Winning TrainerT D Barron
Winning JockeyTom Marquand
Runners8 ran
Distances2 1/4 lengths, Head
Tote Win£1.10
Pl£1.10, £1.60, £12.60
EX£4.30
Trifecta£48.20
CSF£3.48
StatusWeighedIn

Chelmsford CityExtra Places At totesport.com Handicap

12Zmhar5/1
28Bubbelah5/4
39Valley Belle25/1
Winning TrainerJ Tate
Winning JockeyOisin Murphy
Runners9 ran
Distances6 lengths, Neck
Tote Win£5.80
Pl£1.90, £1.10, £7.60
EX£15.90
Trifecta£168.60
CSF£12.05
StatusWeighedIn

WolverhamptonBetway Live Casino Handicap

12Tour de Paris10/1
212Geordielad13/8
34Knight Commander22/1
Winning TrainerA King
Winning JockeyTom Marquand
Runners10 ran
Distances1 1/2 length, 1 1/2 length
Tote Win£8.90
Pl£2.20, £1.60, £3.20
EX£37.40
Trifecta£321.40
CSF£25.88
StatusWeighedIn

Chelmsford Citytotepool Cashback Club At totesport.com Handicap

16Gentlemen5/1
21King Robert3/1
32Red Alert6/1
Winning TrainerP S McEntee
Winning JockeyJosephine Gordon
Runners6 ran
Distances3/4 length, 2 lengths
Tote Win£6.10
Pl£2.60, £1.60
EX£22.90
Trifecta£88.90
CSF£20.74
StatusWeighedIn

WolverhamptonBetway Casino Hands And Heels Apprentice Handicap

19Fairway To Heaven10/1
210Kavora6/1
311Alligator9/1
Winning TrainerPaul George
Winning JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin
Runners13 ran
Distances1 length, 3/4 length
Tote Win£11.50
Pl£3.20, £2.00, £2.50
EX£79.70
Trifecta£450.70
CSF£60.87
StatusWeighedIn

Starting Gate

More
wolverhampton Ladbrokes Handicap 6f 20y - £2749 - Standard

1 Kickham Street6/1

2 Good Tyne Girl20/1

3 Madame Vitesse20/1

4 Amor Kethley14/1

5 North Korea33/1

6 Potenza22/1

7 Halle's Harbour5/1

8 Global Acclamation5/1

9 Deconso6/1

10 Lincoln Spirit12/1

11 Fast Endeavour11/1

12 Amliba25/1

13 Eye Of The Water9/4

chelmsford city Double Delight Hat-Trick Heaven At totesport.com Handicap1m - £3752 -

1 The British Lion10/1

2 Tundra20/1

3 Evening Attire11/1

4 Harbour Vision9/2

5 Miracle Garden8/1

6 Channel Packet15/2

7 Zorawar5/4

8 Tebay20/1

9 Dream Mount18/1

10 The Special One18/1

wolverhampton Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Fillies' Handicap1m - £3396 - Standard

1 American Endeavour7/4

2 Vampish22/1

3 Bell Heather11/1

4 One More Chance14/1

5 Aqua Libre9/2

6 Barbara Villiers5/1

7 Foxy Lady10/1

8 Corked16/1

9 La Sioux12/1

chelmsford city Little Leighs Handicap1m 2f - £3105 -

1 Precision Prince6/4

2 Maared22/1

3 Willkommen8/1

4 Archdeacon9/2

5 Mr Fox50/1

6 Pot Luck14/1

7 Chakrii4/1

8 Lady Wolf14/1

9 Silk Island22/1

10 Mendeleev18/1

11 Wontgetfooledagen40/1

12 Margaret J10/1

13 Jasmine B66/1

sedgefield21-02-19 Pamela And Joe Christer Diamond Wedding Handicap Chase3m 2f 59y - £2469 - Good-good to soft in places

1 So Satisfied3/1

2 Forever Dylan8/1

3 Robin Deuz Pois5/2

4 Apache Pilot14/1

5 Flabello33/1

6 Alto Des Mottes10/1

7 Shaiyzar3/1

8 Notonebuttwo8/1

9 Scorpo16/1

10 Veauce De Sivola20/1

thurles21-02-19 Thurles Racecourse Supporters Club Rated Chase2m 2f - £15990 - Good

1 Jett4/1

2 Real Steel5/4

3 De Plotting Shed7/1

4 Moon Over Germany11/4

5 Landofhopeandglory8/1

sedgefield21-02-19 Bishop Aucklands Temptations Cafe Opening Soon Novices' Hurdle2m - £3249 - Good-good to soft in places

1 Ettila De Sivola7/4

2 Ingleby Hollow1/1

3 Bobndave16/1

4 Darsi's Jewel50/1

5 Tour De Pub12/1

6 Groveman3/1

7 Jo Cashflow66/1

8 Madam Scully100/1

9 Piccalilli Pie100/1

10 Duba Plains100/1

11 Thunder Boy12/1

12 Crimson Skies25/1

huntingdon21-02-19 MansionBet Handicap Hurdle2m 4f 145y - £3574 - Good-good to soft in places

1 Glorious Boru16/1

2 Loud As Lions14/1

3 Monk's View10/1

4 Druid's Folly16/1

5 Hear The Chimes8/1

6 Galactic Power8/1

7 Age Of Wisdom6/1

8 Zante8/1

9 Patience Tony16/1

10 Ermyn's Emerald5/1

11 Realms Of Fire8/1

12 Gamekeeper Bill14/1

13 Blue Rhythm16/1

14 Western Morning5/1

15 Keynote33/1

16 Blazing Glen50/1

17 Indian Reel33/1