BeforeTheOff.com uses cookies.
By continuing to use this website you imply consent to cookies being used.
For more information see our Privacy Policy

Already A Member? Login Now!




Forgot Username/Password?

Remember Me

JOIN NOW FOR FREEGet FREE BTO Plus+ Cards daily
& subscribe for full BTO+ access.

Create A New Account

WHAT IS BTO Plus+?Get a crash course in why BTO Plus+ should
be your new go-to for the best racing data

Learn About BTO Plus+
TM
  • Detailed trainer stats with profit pointers
  • Vital speed figures from latest runs
  • BTO+ ratings from thousands of variables
  • Thousands of races analysed for positive trends
  • Crucial course pace bias statistics
  • Unique pace maps for every race
  • Essential 1-2-3 shortlist for best value betting
With BTO Plus+

Why punters must embrace the speed ratings revolutionPosted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Bobby Musson takes a look at the sophisticated approach to betting that has finally brought the game into the modern era.

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account

First published in 1996, Nick Mordin revealed an incredibly revolutionary method of picking the fastest horse in a race. It was called Mordin On Time.

Having proclaimed on the front cover the vast profit he has obtained from such a method, one would expect this book to look identical to the leather bound, grail diary in Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade. It pains me to say it unfortunately doesn't!

Mordin has, in fact, created what many pro-punters and avid followers of the game believe to be the best example of a priceless, modern-day artefact to date, as his work has created a formula with which a speed-rating can be collated for each individual horse.

The notion of punters requiring data to determine the 'quickest' horse in a race seems a fairly obvious assumption to make although, as you would expect, bookmakers are clearly of the opinion that they would rather that particularly helpful information remain under wraps for eternity, presumably guarded by a near 2000-year-old knight and a series of booby traps!

As Mordin's work trickled slower than expected into the industry, the vast majority of the racing public continued to remain in the dark, indeed hurling yet more money down the drain and greatly in need of a much overdue foothold. At this stage the much desired equitable relationship between punter and bookie was still pie in the sky.

It's only now, with the assistance of modern-day advocates of the speed-figure movement, that things are beginning to change with the sophisticated information much more noticeably craved by the betting public.

So what is a speed-rating and how is it calculated?

Mordin's approach (which is quite a good name for a horse, incidentally) sets out to tag each racehorse with a number, for example 76. This number is the end result of a series of calculations all explained in depth throughout the book, but suffice to say a race winning time, which currently seems the pinnacle of mainstream information, actually says nothing of those who finished in behind the winner and certainly cannot be used in comparison to races at different venues.

Admittedly the stopwatch will give us an indication of the level of performance but the betting fraternity will always desire more cross-comparable data in a simple double-digit format. Such a 'figure' symbolises a more concise conclusion regarding the horse's performance in spite of the ground conditions on the day, the idiosyncrasies of the track and, if we then get into sectional/split times, whether or not the pace-bias assisted the figure on the clock.

It's all well and good when trawling through a newspaper that's covered in coffee and flapping around in the wind to see that 'Horse A' finished second at Windsor on debut to a well-punted Godolphin two-year-old on good to firm ground, but how do you compare that animal priced at Even money with 'Horse B', who finished fifth on soft ground in a maiden at Leicester and is 11/2 in comparison? Here the speed-ratings very much come into their own and can be gold dust when using them regularly.

BTO Plus+ offers speed-ratings on a daily basis and it is hoped that they continue to give bookmakers a less than comfortable ride throughout the Spring Festivals and on into the Flat season. Nick Mordin's work should not only be applauded for ingenuity but also employed as a fundamental starting point for all budding racegoers and, with that foundation in place, there is certainly hope for us all.

[Bobby Musson]

Article Posted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account


Subscribe To BTO Plus+

More Show/Hide

EVERY BTO+ Race card EVERY day

Revolutionary race informationfor both casual and serious punters

LOGIN TO SUBSCRIBE

* Your subscription will automatically renew to avoid interruption of service. You can cancel at any time.

Latest Results

More

PontefractNova Display Handicap (Div 2)

18Springwood Drive9/4 f
21Saluti7/1
35Juanito Chico5/1
Winning TrainerT D Easterby
Winning JockeyD Allan
Runners8 ran
Distances1 1/4 length, 1 3/4 length
Tote Win£2.70
Pl£1.30, £2.40, £1.90
EX£21.10
Trifecta£93.30
CSF£18.77
StatusWeighedIn

SouthwellCoopers Marquees Handicap Hurdle

15Boher Lad7/1
27Grand Enterprise12/1
38Realta Dawn11/1
Winning TrainerA Phillips
Winning JockeyC J Todd
Runners13 ran
Distances4 lengths, Neck
Tote Win£8.90
Pl£2.90, £5.20, £4.60
EX£89.80
Trifecta£2392.50
CSF£101.20
StatusWeighedIn

TramoreIrish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race

11Dime A Dozen5/2
26Lady Moon11/2
37Skyace6/5 f
Winning TrainerJ J Hanlon
Winning JockeyMr T Hamilton
Runners8 ran
Distances3/4 length, 8 lengths
Tote Win£3.80
Pl£1.20, £1.80, £1.02
EX£15.70
Trifecta£30.80
CSF£16.14
StatusWeighedIn

PontefractNova Display Handicap (Div 1)

15Inexes7/2
29Penny Pot Lane5/1
31Magical Effect13/8 f
Winning TrainerI Furtado
Winning JockeyJason Hart
Runners8 ran
Distances1/2 length, 1 1/4 length
Tote Win£4.00
Pl£1.40, £1.70, £1.10
EX£20.00
Trifecta£49.00
CSF£21.32
StatusWeighedIn

Southwell7bets4free.com Mares' Novices' Hurdle

12Duck Egg Blue12/1
21Smart Getaway30/100
33Go To Court8/1
Winning TrainerLiam Bailey
Winning JockeyJ Kington
Runners7 ran
Distances3 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Tote Win£12.70
Pl£3.30, £1.20
EX£32.40
Trifecta£141.40
CSF£18.82
StatusWeighedIn

TramoreHeinz Pollmeier Memorial Handicap Chase (0-109)

16Indian Music14/1
29Captain Cobajay33/1
37Fairymount Boy10/1
Winning TrainerW J Burke
Winning JockeyJ J Burke
Runners9 ran
Distances6 1/2 lengths, 1 1/2 length
Tote Win£23.90
Pl£3.20, £10.00, £2.30
EX£628.30
Trifecta£6585.60
CSF£326.93
StatusWeighedIn

PontefractFollow WillHillRacing On Twitter Novice Stakes

16Storting7/4 f
23Eva Maria15/8
31Ningaloo100/1
Winning TrainerM R Channon
Winning JockeyS De Sousa
Runners10 ran
Distances3 3/4 lengths, 7 lengths
Tote Win£2.50
Pl£1.10, £1.20, £12.80
EX£5.00
Trifecta£226.70
CSF£5.09
StatusWeighedIn

SouthwellLove To Spa At Eden Hall Handicap Hurdle

16Desert Point3/1 f
27Bobble Emerald17/2
38Sid Hoodie7/1
Winning TrainerK Dalgleish
Winning JockeyB S Hughes
Runners11 ran
Distances9 lengths, Neck
Tote Win£3.20
Pl£1.60, £3.20, £2.50
EX£35.90
Trifecta£240.50
CSF£32.29
StatusWeighedIn

Starting Gate

More
catterick Carnival Family Day Selling Stakes 7f 6y - £3105 - Soft (Good to Soft in places)

1 Grimbold8/1

2 Our Dave16/1

3 Champagne Victory33/1

4 Enjoy The Moment8/13

5 Fulbeck Rose80/1

6 Schumli11/4

lingfield Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap1m 2f - £2782 - Standard

1 Sir Canford4/1

2 Padura Brave9/1

3 Asensio14/1

4 Four Mile Bridge8/1

5 Zappiness9/4

6 Arcadienne10/1

7 Lynchpin33/1

8 Fame N Fortune14/1

9 Quemonda33/1

10 Milldean Felix25/1

11 Savoy Brown33/1

12 Forty Four Sunsets33/1

13 Ramatuelle8/1

14 Necoleta40/1

catterick Like Racing TV On Facebook Nursery 5f 212y - £6081 - Soft (Good to Soft in places)

1 Good Night Mr Tom6/4

2 Exclusively5/1

3 Infinite Grace4/1

4 Woven Quality10/1

5 She's Easyontheeye16/1

6 Gold Venture20/1

7 Knightcap5/1

8 Bob's Oss33/1

lingfield Witheford Equine Barrier Trials At Lingfield Park Fillies' Handicap1m 2f - £5208 - Standard

1 Cantiniere3/1

2 Geetanjali20/1

3 Snowdon20/1

4 Elisheba7/2

5 Manorah5/2

6 Narjes14/1

7 Scheme9/2

catterick Follow RacingTV On Twitter Handicap 5f 212y - £3105 - Soft (Good to Soft in places)

1 Point Of Woods12/1

2 B Fifty Two9/2

3 Capla Demon22/1

4 Mr Greenlight4/1

5 Deeds Not Words8/1

6 Super Florence14/1

7 Little Miss Muffin20/1

8 Santafiora10/1

9 Carlovian12/1

10 Just For The Craic33/1

11 Night Law6/1

12 Spirit Of Zebedee15/2

lingfield Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Fillies' Novice Auction Stakes1m - £2782 - Standard

1 Little Bird5/6

2 Her Indoors15/2

3 Um Elnadim11/4

4 Loretta Lass66/1

5 Fair Sabra11/1

6 Hiconic14/1

catterick Minster FM Novice Stakes1m 4f 13y - £4140 - Soft (Good to Soft in places)

1 Ahorsewithnoname6/4

2 Detonation250/1

3 Double Esprit10/1

4 Gabrials Boy10/3

5 Magic Act28/1

6 Wadacre Galoubet9/2

7 Wolf Prince9/2

8 Pound Off You250/1

lingfield Goodbye & Good Luck Will Hudson Handicap1m - £5208 - Standard

1 Eligible6/4

2 Al Messila4/1

3 Shawaaheq6/4

4 Tronada12/1