BeforeTheOff.com uses cookies.
By continuing to use this website you imply consent to cookies being used.
For more information see our Privacy Policy

Already A Member? Login Now!




Forgot Username/Password?

Remember Me

JOIN BTO NOWGet in-depth BTO Plus+ racecards, now completely free for everyone

Create A New Account

WHAT IS BTO Plus+?Get a crash course in why BTO Plus+ should
be your new go-to for the best racing data

Learn About BTO Plus+

Why punters must embrace the speed ratings revolutionPosted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Bobby Musson takes a look at the sophisticated approach to betting that has finally brought the game into the modern era.

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account

First published in 1996, Nick Mordin revealed an incredibly revolutionary method of picking the fastest horse in a race. It was called Mordin On Time.

Having proclaimed on the front cover the vast profit he has obtained from such a method, one would expect this book to look identical to the leather bound, grail diary in Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade. It pains me to say it unfortunately doesn't!

Mordin has, in fact, created what many pro-punters and avid followers of the game believe to be the best example of a priceless, modern-day artefact to date, as his work has created a formula with which a speed-rating can be collated for each individual horse.

The notion of punters requiring data to determine the 'quickest' horse in a race seems a fairly obvious assumption to make although, as you would expect, bookmakers are clearly of the opinion that they would rather that particularly helpful information remain under wraps for eternity, presumably guarded by a near 2000-year-old knight and a series of booby traps!

As Mordin's work trickled slower than expected into the industry, the vast majority of the racing public continued to remain in the dark, indeed hurling yet more money down the drain and greatly in need of a much overdue foothold. At this stage the much desired equitable relationship between punter and bookie was still pie in the sky.

It's only now, with the assistance of modern-day advocates of the speed-figure movement, that things are beginning to change with the sophisticated information much more noticeably craved by the betting public.

So what is a speed-rating and how is it calculated?

Mordin's approach (which is quite a good name for a horse, incidentally) sets out to tag each racehorse with a number, for example 76. This number is the end result of a series of calculations all explained in depth throughout the book, but suffice to say a race winning time, which currently seems the pinnacle of mainstream information, actually says nothing of those who finished in behind the winner and certainly cannot be used in comparison to races at different venues.

Admittedly the stopwatch will give us an indication of the level of performance but the betting fraternity will always desire more cross-comparable data in a simple double-digit format. Such a 'figure' symbolises a more concise conclusion regarding the horse's performance in spite of the ground conditions on the day, the idiosyncrasies of the track and, if we then get into sectional/split times, whether or not the pace-bias assisted the figure on the clock.

It's all well and good when trawling through a newspaper that's covered in coffee and flapping around in the wind to see that 'Horse A' finished second at Windsor on debut to a well-punted Godolphin two-year-old on good to firm ground, but how do you compare that animal priced at Even money with 'Horse B', who finished fifth on soft ground in a maiden at Leicester and is 11/2 in comparison? Here the speed-ratings very much come into their own and can be gold dust when using them regularly.

BTO Plus+ offers speed-ratings on a daily basis and it is hoped that they continue to give bookmakers a less than comfortable ride throughout the Spring Festivals and on into the Flat season. Nick Mordin's work should not only be applauded for ingenuity but also employed as a fundamental starting point for all budding racegoers and, with that foundation in place, there is certainly hope for us all.

[Bobby Musson]

Article Posted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account


Get BTO Plus+ FREE!

More Show/Hide

EVERY BTO+ Race card EVERY day

Revolutionary race informationfor both casual and serious punters

Join BTO to get started

Latest Results

More

WolverhamptonDownload The At The Races App Handicap

11Galata BridgeEvs f
24Thai Power7/4
35Lismore5/1
Winning TrainerSir Michael Stoute
Winning JockeyJim Crowley
Runners8 ran
Distances3/4 length, 3 3/4 lengths
Tote Win£1.90
Pl£1.10, £1.20, £1.40
EX£3.60
Trifecta£9.30
CSF£2.93
StatusWeighedIn

NavanBettystown (Q.R.) Maiden

17Felix Desjy10/11 f
21Advantage Point40/1
311Rasiym4/1
Winning TrainerG Elliott
Winning JockeyMr J J Codd
Runners18 ran
Distances8 lengths, 13 lengths
Tote Win£1.80
Pl£1.02, £3.50, £1.50
EX£25.90
Trifecta£68.30
CSF£61.66
StatusWeighedIn

WolverhamptonSky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

12Camachess3/1
25Dark Side Dream11/2
36Shepherd's Purse9/2
Winning TrainerP J McBride
Winning JockeyCallum Shepherd
Runners7 ran
Distances1 length, 1 1/2 length
Tote Win£3.80
Pl£1.70, £3.30
EX£20.40
Trifecta£70.40
CSF£18.85
StatusWeighedIn

NavanIrish Stallion Farms EBF 'Nasrullah' Handicap (Premier Handicap)

12Patrick Sarsfield5/4 f
212Pesto22/1
39Kiss For A Jewel33/1
Winning TrainerJ P O'Brien
Winning JockeyD P McDonogh
Runners17 ran
Distances3/4 length, Head
Tote Win£1.80
Pl£1.02, £4.00, £5.80, £4.80
EX£27.60
Trifecta£604.50
CSF£39.82
StatusWeighedIn

WolverhamptonFree Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap

11Simba Samba2/1 f
22Fantasy Justifier9/1
37Alba Del Sole5/1
Winning TrainerP J McBride
Winning JockeyCallum Shepherd
Runners9 ran
Distances3 lengths, 3/4 length
Tote Win£2.90
Pl£1.30, £2.50, £1.80
EX£22.10
Trifecta£78.00
CSF£20.99
StatusWeighedIn

NavanRoyal County Handicap (Premier Handicap)

13Delphi3/1
24Sacramento15/2
38Sonnyboyliston7/2
Winning TrainerA P O'Brien
Winning JockeyW M Lordan
Runners9 ran
DistancesNeck, 2 1/4 lengths
Tote Win£4.90
Pl£1.40, £1.90, £1.50
EX£26.20
Trifecta£161.80
CSF£25.07
StatusWeighedIn

WolverhamptonFollow At The Races On Twitter Fillies' Handicap

13Charming Spirit7/2
28Spurofthemoment8/11
36Little Red Socks10/1
Winning TrainerR Varian
Winning JockeyJack Mitchell
Runners8 ran
DistancesNose, 1 1/4 length
Tote Win£4.90
Pl£1.60, £1.10, £2.70
EX£8.40
Trifecta£38.40
CSF£6.64
StatusWeighedIn

NavanStackallen Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)

115Giorni Felice8/1
29Hidden Spark5/1
37Guido Reni9/4 f
Winning TrainerFrancis Casey
Winning JockeyN M Crosse
Runners18 ran
Distances3 1/2 lengths, 1/2 length
Tote Win£9.30
Pl£1.80, £1.50, £1.10, £2.30
EX£41.80
Trifecta£163.30
CSF£43.95
StatusWeighedIn

Starting Gate

More
haydock bet365.com Handicap1m 2f 42y - £3493 - Soft

1 Scofflaw20/1

2 Delph Crescent7/1

3 Francisco Bay6/1

4 Hermocrates16/1

5 Redgrave11/2

6 Mr Top Hat8/1

7 Grand Inquisitor33/1

8 Fair Power15/2

9 Buzz Killington11/1

10 Jupiter Road25/1

11 Deinonychus12/1

12 Iconic Code16/1

13 Motahassen6/1

14 Najib25/1

15 Mac Ailey7/1

16 Imajorblush25/1

17 Swaffham Bulbeck50/1

haydock Price Promise At bet365 Handicap 5f - £4690 - Soft

1 Royal Context4/1

2 Wonderwork5/1

3 Triple Spear5/1

4 Heer We Go Again11/1

5 Aleneva16/1

6 Birkenhead11/1

7 Blazing Hot2/1

8 Spirit Of The Sky0/0

9 Lara Silvia12/1

haydock bet365 Handicap 6f - £3493 - Soft

1 Lady Calcaria7/1

2 Airglow14/1

3 Redrosezorro4/1

4 Quench Dolly20/1

5 Madrinho4/1

6 Good Answer10/1

7 Shortbackandsides50/1

8 Peachey Carnehan9/1

9 Rich Approach0/0

10 Zebulon20/1

11 Ey Up Its Mick6/1

12 Dormio33/1

13 Lady Monica20/1

14 Redesdale Rebel10/1

15 Sharrabang33/1

16 The Golden Cue9/2

17 Bevsboy50/1

haydock bet365 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race) 6f 212y - £4140 - Soft

1 Dubai Fountain13/8

2 Golden Melody7/4

3 Spirit Of Sisra4/1

4 Addosh16/1

5 Amasova16/1

6 Galah16/1

7 Wedding Dance9/2

epsom Investec Woodcote EBF Stakes (Conditions Race) (Plus 10) 6f 3y - £12450 - Good

1 Inhaler8/1

2 Modern News9/4

3 Mutazawwed7/2

4 Twaasol7/4

5 Calcutta Cup11/1

naas Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Plus 10) 6f - £15000 - Yielding

1 My Boy Charles16/1

2 Rebel Step14/1

3 Tar Heel10/3

4 Zoffany's Delight9/1

5 Street Kid7/4

6 Turbo Spirit25/1

7 Cisco Disco100/1

8 Livingston Range33/1

9 Dame Dandy16/1

10 Perfect Sign2/1

11 Adakaz25/1

12 Social Danzer100/1

haydock Cash Out At bet365 Handicap 6f 212y - £3493 - Soft

1 Cruising13/2

2 Dark Optimist25/1

3 Taste The Nectar22/1

4 Dana Forever11/2

5 Wadi Al Salaam25/1

6 Tacitly11/4

7 Seas Of Elzaam10/1

8 Risk Taker4/1

9 Incognito0/0

10 Made For All14/1

11 Top Class Angel4/1

12 Cassy O25/1

epsom Investec Surrey Stakes (Listed) 7f 3y - £14461 - Good

1 Daarik7/1

2 Jack's Point16/1

3 Oh This Is Us15/2

4 Safe Voyage11/10

5 Shine So Bright9/2

6 Vale Of Kent13/2