BeforeTheOff.com uses cookies.
By continuing to use this website you imply consent to cookies being used.
For more information see our Privacy Policy

Already A Member? Login Now!




Forgot Username/Password?

Remember Me

JOIN NOW FOR FREEGet FREE BTO Plus+ Cards daily
& subscribe for full BTO+ access.

Create A New Account

WHAT IS BTO Plus+?Get a crash course in why BTO Plus+ should
be your new go-to for the best racing data

Learn About BTO Plus+
TM
  • Detailed trainer stats with profit pointers
  • Vital speed figures from latest runs
  • BTO+ ratings from thousands of variables
  • Thousands of races analysed for positive trends
  • Crucial course pace bias statistics
  • Unique pace maps for every race
  • Essential 1-2-3 shortlist for best value betting
With BTO Plus+

Why punters must embrace the speed ratings revolutionPosted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Bobby Musson takes a look at the sophisticated approach to betting that has finally brought the game into the modern era.

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account

First published in 1996, Nick Mordin revealed an incredibly revolutionary method of picking the fastest horse in a race. It was called Mordin On Time.

Having proclaimed on the front cover the vast profit he has obtained from such a method, one would expect this book to look identical to the leather bound, grail diary in Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade. It pains me to say it unfortunately doesn't!

Mordin has, in fact, created what many pro-punters and avid followers of the game believe to be the best example of a priceless, modern-day artefact to date, as his work has created a formula with which a speed-rating can be collated for each individual horse.

The notion of punters requiring data to determine the 'quickest' horse in a race seems a fairly obvious assumption to make although, as you would expect, bookmakers are clearly of the opinion that they would rather that particularly helpful information remain under wraps for eternity, presumably guarded by a near 2000-year-old knight and a series of booby traps!

As Mordin's work trickled slower than expected into the industry, the vast majority of the racing public continued to remain in the dark, indeed hurling yet more money down the drain and greatly in need of a much overdue foothold. At this stage the much desired equitable relationship between punter and bookie was still pie in the sky.

It's only now, with the assistance of modern-day advocates of the speed-figure movement, that things are beginning to change with the sophisticated information much more noticeably craved by the betting public.

So what is a speed-rating and how is it calculated?

Mordin's approach (which is quite a good name for a horse, incidentally) sets out to tag each racehorse with a number, for example 76. This number is the end result of a series of calculations all explained in depth throughout the book, but suffice to say a race winning time, which currently seems the pinnacle of mainstream information, actually says nothing of those who finished in behind the winner and certainly cannot be used in comparison to races at different venues.

Admittedly the stopwatch will give us an indication of the level of performance but the betting fraternity will always desire more cross-comparable data in a simple double-digit format. Such a 'figure' symbolises a more concise conclusion regarding the horse's performance in spite of the ground conditions on the day, the idiosyncrasies of the track and, if we then get into sectional/split times, whether or not the pace-bias assisted the figure on the clock.

It's all well and good when trawling through a newspaper that's covered in coffee and flapping around in the wind to see that 'Horse A' finished second at Windsor on debut to a well-punted Godolphin two-year-old on good to firm ground, but how do you compare that animal priced at Even money with 'Horse B', who finished fifth on soft ground in a maiden at Leicester and is 11/2 in comparison? Here the speed-ratings very much come into their own and can be gold dust when using them regularly.

BTO Plus+ offers speed-ratings on a daily basis and it is hoped that they continue to give bookmakers a less than comfortable ride throughout the Spring Festivals and on into the Flat season. Nick Mordin's work should not only be applauded for ingenuity but also employed as a fundamental starting point for all budding racegoers and, with that foundation in place, there is certainly hope for us all.

[Bobby Musson]

Article Posted on Thursday 7th April 2016 @ 07.18

Join BTO Today!

Create your FREE BTO account to get 1 FREE BTO Plus+ Racecards every day, as well access to BTO Plus+ subscriptions, bonus discounts and more!

LOGIN or Create an Account


Subscribe To BTO Plus+

More Show/Hide

EVERY BTO+ Race card EVERY day

Revolutionary race informationfor both casual and serious punters

LOGIN TO SUBSCRIBE

* Your subscription will automatically renew to avoid interruption of service. You can cancel at any time.

Latest Results

More

DoncasterLakeside Village Savings With Every Step Fillies' Handicap

110Well Funded11/2
27Maid In Manhattan6/4
38Fantastic Ms Fox5/1
Winning TrainerJ D Bethell
Winning JockeyJane Elliott
Runners9 ran
Distances1/2 length, Neck
Tote Win£6.50
Pl£1.80, £1.30, £1.60
EX£19.90
Trifecta£78.10
CSF£14.60
StatusWeighedIn

Gowran ParkFollow BetVictorRacing On Twitter Race

12Broad Street6/4 f
24Wargrave15/8
35Fancy Feat9/2
Winning TrainerD K Weld
Winning JockeyO J Orr
Runners5 ran
Distances1/2 length, 2 3/4 lengths
Tote Win£2.30
Pl£1.90, £1.60
EX£4.60
Trifecta£11.00
CSF£4.55
StatusWeighedIn

SalisburyPaul Williamson Memorial Handicap

14Maygold4/1
23Youkan5/2
32Paddy Power5/2 jf
Winning TrainerEd Walker
Winning JockeyL P Keniry
Runners7 ran
Distances2 3/4 lengths, Neck
Tote Win£4.10
Pl£1.40, £2.40
EX£11.80
Trifecta£44.80
CSF£15.22
StatusWeighedIn

DownpatrickIrish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race

16Lady Breffni5/4 f
22Caer4/1
310Ruaille Buaille7/2
Winning TrainerJ P O'Brien
Winning JockeyMr T Hamilton
Runners10 ran
Distances7 1/2 lengths, 2 1/4 lengths
Tote Win£2.30
Pl£1.20, £1.80, £2.20
EX£11.60
Trifecta£96.40
CSF£7.75
StatusWeighedIn

DoncasterTeam Verrico Handicap (Rnd)

17Silkstone10/1
23Ginger Fox3/1
34Lightning Attack11/2
Winning TrainerMrs P Sly
Winning JockeyS W Kelly
Runners10 ran
Distances1 length, 3/4 length
Tote Win£8.70
Pl£3.10, £1.90, £1.80
EX£58.40
Trifecta£189.70
CSF£43.28
StatusWeighedIn

Gowran ParkBetVictor Proudly Supporting Irish Racing Handicap

113Olympic Honour8/1
23Engles Rock14/1
36Winiata10/1
Winning TrainerJ W Nicholson
Winning JockeyA J Slattery
Runners12 ran
Distances1/2 length, 1/2 length
Tote Win£10.20
Pl£2.70, £3.30, £3.90
EX£143.50
Trifecta£1612.10
CSF£130.10
StatusWeighedIn

SalisburyCara Glass Fillies' Handicap

11Daddy's Daughter7/1
22Chica De La Noche5/1
37Dashed7/4 f
Winning TrainerD K Ivory
Winning JockeyR Winston
Runners8 ran
Distances3 1/2 lengths, 1/2 length
Tote Win£6.60
Pl£2.80, £1.10
EX£46.70
Trifecta£148.00
CSF£44.64
StatusWeighedIn

DownpatrickTote Supporting Downpatrick Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (80-95)

15Our Brian11/2
212Santa Anna6/1
31Tagg's Island12/1
Winning TrainerP J Rothwell
Winning JockeyR A Doyle
Runners11 ran
Distances5 1/2 lengths, 2 1/2 lengths
Tote Win£6.20
Pl£1.60, £2.30, £5.60
EX£35.40
Trifecta£473.50
CSF£41.95
StatusWeighedIn

Starting Gate

More
carlisle Join Racing TV Now Novice Auction Stakes 5f 193y - £4205 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Troubador9/4

2 Contract Kid66/1

3 Rebel Soldier Boy12/1

4 Sir Havelock6/1

5 Swift Arion16/1

6 Moonlighting25/1

7 Requiems Dream6/1

8 Space Ace5/4

catterick EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) 5f - £4464 - Soft

1 Baileys In Bloom13/2

2 Infinite Grace14/1

3 Iva Go7/2

4 Bankawi33/1

5 Blitzle25/1

6 Fashion Advice12/1

7 Keep Busy16/1

8 Lady Melody7/1

9 Miss Lucy7/2

10 Sneaky9/4

carlisle Introducing Racing TV Fillies' Novice Stakes 5f 193y - £4205 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Cheam Avenue25/1

2 Diamond Shower5/1

3 Gometra Ginty10/1

4 Guarded Secret50/1

5 Loretta5/1

6 Perfect Charm11/1

7 Rhossili Down8/13

8 Vita Vivet100/1

catterick Millbry Hill Veterans' Handicap 5f 212y - £5111 - Soft

1 Robot Boy33/1

2 Rose Marmara10/1

3 Socialites Red11/1

4 Tricky Dicky7/4

5 Lucky Beggar7/2

6 Classic Pursuit20/1

7 Satchville Flyer11/1

8 Indian Pursuit10/1

9 Mujassam9/1

10 Extrasolar14/1

11 B Fifty Two9/1

12 Crosse Fire20/1

carlisle Molson Coors Handicap 5f 193y - £3234 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Dirchill20/1

2 Somewhere Secret10/1

3 Dahik4/1

4 Chickenfortea14/1

5 Caustic Love12/1

6 Jacob's Pillow12/1

7 Cosmic Chatter14/1

8 Picture Your Dream33/1

9 Hop Maddocks66/1

10 Ticks The Boxes4/1

11 Ventura Secret7/1

12 Saltie Girl25/1

13 Dream House11/2

14 Firsteen10/1

15 Meshardal18/1

16 Alfred The Grey10/1

17 Red Allure40/1

catterick Zeek Design Thanks Gerard Brogan Claiming Stakes1m 4f 13y - £3429 - Soft

1 Grand Inquisitor1/1

2 Mirsaale13/8

3 Dr Richard Kimble10/3

4 Windy Writer25/1

5 Lots Ov66/1

6 Mandarin Princess50/1

7 Highway Robber28/1

8 Fillydelphia50/1

carlisle Celebrating The Life Of Vanessa Graham Handicap 7f 173y - £4205 - Good to soft-good in places

1 Royal Shaheen20/1

2 Redarna5/1

3 Make Me11/2

4 Showboating20/1

5 Strong Steps12/1

6 Irish Minister40/1

7 Fake News18/1

8 Edgar Allan Poe6/1

9 Chinese Spirit15/2

10 Beverley Bullet9/2

11 Ishebayorgrey11/2

12 Fingal's Cave12/1

13 Gun Case16/1

14 Im Dapper Too12/1

catterick Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap 7f 6y - £6728 - Soft

1 Zylan11/1

2 Kuwait Station3/1

3 Elenora Delight16/1

4 Murdanova9/1

5 Theatre Of War10/1

6 Cameo Star17/2

7 John Clare11/2

8 Atletico4/1

9 Stronsay8/1

10 Super Florence9/1