lingfield 11.30 Wednesday 2nd December

5 (16)
900533

Abel Tasman16CT: Ian Williams / J: K T O'Neill6 y.o / 9.7lb / OR 59

64-

64
12/1

-

6
9.7

59

16

0.69

2

59

-8

0
2

0

58

12

2-307%

1-1010%

0-50%

1-714%

1-520%

2-540%

8% 29% (3-11-38)

4.4

0.7

8% (5-65)

7

0.7

6% (7-111)

11.3

0.6

8-50
16%

16% (8-50)

6.5

1.2

8% (38-448)

44.1

0.9

15% (22-147)

23

1

17-195
9%

9% (17-195)

24.2

0.7

Mount Nelson

10% (18-183)

22.6

0.8

9% (58-617)

75.9

0.8

He was always that bit more appealing at 1m-1m2f during his 2017-18 peak and his third over today's trip at Wolverhampton last time suggests that's still the case; mark has never been lower than today, but surprising if nothing hits the line stronger.

2 (2)
523644

Janus79CCpT: M F Harris / J: Rob Hornby5 y.o / 9.8lb / OR 57

63-

63
14/1

-

5
9.8

57

2

1.00

5

57

7

2
2

0

55

9

1-119%

1-425%

0-30%

1-1010%

1-617%

3-650%

0% 7% (0-1-15)

1.5

0

7% (2-30)

2.9

0.7

5% (3-63)

6.1

0.5

2-15
13%

13% (2-15)

1.2

1.7

9% (26-288)

32.6

0.8

14% (3-22)

1.9

1.6

25-329
8%

8% (25-329)

41.6

0.6

Rock Of Gibraltar

7% (24-335)

38.9

0.6

9% (139-1600)

193.3

0.7

Progress appears to have plateaued for the time being over hurdles; possibly a similar story in this sphere, judged on C&D fourth on September's most recent Flat start; slight ease in grade and down 1lb, but more needed.

3 (1)
234639

King Athelstan18DCWSBT: G L Moore / J: Rhys Clutterbuck(7)5 y.o / 9.8lb / OR 58

60-

60
12/1

-

5
9.8

58

1

1.07

8

58

2

0
1

0

36

-10

3-2612%

1-813%

2-825%

3-2214%

1-1010%

5-1050%

13% 22% (6-10-46)

6

1

11% (9-85)

10.2

0.9

9% (14-154)

18.9

0.7

16-84
19%

19% (16-84)

15.8

1

16% (107-670)

140

0.8

11% (44-408)

50.7

0.9

9-95
9%

9% (9-95)

13.8

0.7

Mayson

6% (1-17)

2.2

0.5

9% (35-374)

45.9

0.8

Subject to traffic issues rather than stamina limitations upped to 2m here last time; C&D success a year ago was gained racing prominently from a low draw in another 16-runner race, and although still 2lb higher today he nearly obliged off 61 here last winter too; could be worth chancing.

12 (9)
842111

Beat The Breeze25CpT: S Dow / J: Callum Shepherd3 y.o / 9.2lb / OR 60

60-

60
16/1

-

3
9.2

60

9

0.88

3

60

8

1
1

0

51

5

2-1513%

2-922%

0-10%

2-1217%

0-60%

2-633%

0% 11% (0-1-9)

1.2

0

5% (1-19)

2.5

0.4

14% (5-36)

4

1.3

2-6
33%

33% (2-6)

0.9

2.2

9% (25-266)

27.2

0.9

12% (36-306)

39.7

0.9

3-24
13%

13% (3-24)

2.7

1.1

Outstrip

0% (0-6)

0.3

0

8% (9-108)

11.3

0.8

Tremendously game in emerging on top in two late duels over 1m2f at Chelmsford most recently and latest 4lb rise is fair; too much ground to make up in his solitary run over 1m4f (on Polytrack) and certainly in the sort of heart to prove he has more to offer at this trip.

4 (12)
6456-52

Narjes25CHT: M Appleby / J: Cieren Fallon6 y.o / 9.7lb / OR 55

59-

59
14/1

-

6
9.7

55

12

0.95

3

55

-13

0
2

0

51

5

4-508%

2-268%

0-20%

3-1619%

3-2214%

9-2241%

15% 28% (8-15-53)

7.1

1.1

13% (12-92)

11.2

1.1

11% (20-176)

20.3

1

0-29
0%

0% (0-29)

3

0

10% (8-80)

11.9

0.7

13% (21-161)

22.3

0.9

19-134
14%

14% (19-134)

18

1.1

Sepoy

5% (3-55)

5.4

0.6

12% (65-556)

72.9

0.9

Solid record fresh and was additionally returning off a career-low mark when defying a seven-month absence over 1m2f here on her stable debut in October, ridden patiently as usual; that might be as good as she is now, with no more than one of her three losses since attributable to traffic issues.

14 (7)
90/608-

Taima39BT: Sir Mark Prescott / J: L Morris3 y.o / 9.0lb / OR 52

58-

58
14/1

-

3
9.0

52

7

0.98

4

52

1
0

0

34

-12

0-40%

0-30%

0-00%

0-10%

0-00%

20% 20% (1-1-5)

0.4

2.3

11% (1-9)

0.5

2

3% (1-35)

4.1

0.2

172-943
18%

18% (172-943)

190.6

0.9

12% (110-927)

131.4

0.8

17% (25-148)

30.5

0.8

3-19
16%

16% (3-19)

2.8

1.1

Make Believe

13% (1-8)

0.7

1.5

14% (8-58)

8.1

1

Always likely to need further than the 7f of her qualifying outings, but proved impervious to Luke Morris's urgings when sent off favourite on her handicap debut at Chelmsford (1m2f) latest; best watched after that, even though 1m4f looks an even better fit on pedigree; blinkers added.

6 (8)
985697-

Double Legend17DBT: R Ingram / J: Rhiain Ingram(5)5 y.o / 9.5lb / OR 51

57-

57
16/1

-

5
9.5

51

8

0.88

5

51

-7

0
3

0

62

16

2-2110%

0-10%

2-1414%

2-1217%

0-30%

0% 0% (0-0-5)

0.3

0

0% (0-7)

0.4

0

0% (0-16)

1

0

8-255
3%

3% (8-255)

16.2

0.5

3% (5-145)

12.5

0.4

1% (1-91)

6

0.2

1-11
9%

9% (1-11)

1

Finsceal Fior

14% (2-14)

2.7

0.7

8% (5-65)

7.2

0.7

Mixed bag fresh and untried on Fibresand previously, so 23l defeat on stable debut at Southwell last month can be forgiven; both wins were at Kempton over 1m4f and he now has a lower mark than for either of those, having also posted a tidy fourth on his only go over this C&D; possibilities.

9 (14)
71647-0

Mistress Nellie43DT: W Stone / J: Hollie Doyle5 y.o / 9.4lb / OR 52

57-

57
14/1

-

5
9.4

52

14

0.79

5

52

0

0
2

0

23

-23

2-346%

0-90%

1-166%

2-316%

0-110%

5-1145%

0% 50% (0-2-4)

0.4

0

0% (0-10)

1.2

0

5% (1-19)

2.4

0.4

26-179
15%

15% (26-179)

20.7

1.3

16% (68-433)

66.6

1

11% (10-90)

11.1

0.9

17-195
9%

9% (17-195)

24.2

0.7

Mount Nelson

10% (18-183)

22.6

0.8

9% (58-617)

75.9

0.8

Polytrack (1m4f) and soft-ground (1m2f) scorer this year but recent runs hint she may be too high for further win purposes; trainer/jockey combination took one division of this race in 2018.

13 (11)
2/5002-1

Devizes170T: P Phelan / J: J F Egan4 y.o / 9.1lb / OR 50

56-

56
18/1

-

4
9.1

50

11

0.88

8

50

0
1

0

53

7

0-50%

0-00%

0-10%

0-30%

0-10%

0% 0% (0-0-4)

0.2

0

0% (0-7)

0.3

0

0% (0-11)

0.6

0

5-75
7%

7% (5-75)

6.8

0.7

10% (26-263)

32.9

0.8

9% (15-158)

15.9

0.9

62-329
19%

19% (62-329)

66.5

0.9

Dubawi

21% (54-254)

53.1

1

18% (229-1293)

249.1

0.9

Didn't build on June's encouraging C&D comeback fifth when turned out again just a week later, and has been missing since; acts on Polytrack and down to a lowest-ever mark, but others more persuasive; blinkers off.

15 (15)
847403-

Corofin9T: R Hannon / J: Thore Hammer Hansen(3)3 y.o / 8.9lb / OR 48

56-

56
16/1

-

3
8.9

48

15

0.66

7

48

0
0

0

58

12

0-100%

0-50%

0-20%

0-60%

0-30%

11% 29% (4-10-35)

4.8

0.8

7% (5-70)

8.7

0.6

7% (13-187)

23.2

0.6

24-215
11%

11% (24-215)

28.9

0.8

10% (9-87)

9.6

0.9

18% (96-539)

97.6

1

78-614
13%

13% (78-614)

86.1

0.9

Kodiac

5% (5-108)

11.8

0.4

12% (324-2740)

365.9

0.9

Hasn't hit the line especially hard the last twice, although racing too fractiously early on when upped to 1m6f last week didn't help her; about 6l behind On The Right Track on their Wolverhampton clash two starts back, and hope perhaps rests with this new trip/surface combination.

16 (5)
548758

Dame Denali16BT: A Carson / J: Darragh Keenan(3)3 y.o / 8.6lb / OR 45

53-

53
16/1

-

3
8.6

45

5

1.11

4

45

1
1

0

34

-12

0-120%

0-60%

0-40%

0-90%

0-30%

1-333%

0% 0% (0-0-5)

0.3

0

0% (0-7)

0.4

0

0% (0-19)

0.9

0

2-14
14%

14% (2-14)

0.8

2.6

12% (18-150)

13.9

1.3

13% (6-48)

4.9

1.2

10-101
10%

10% (10-101)

13.8

0.7

Casamento

7% (6-86)

11.5

0.5

9% (48-533)

63.6

0.8

Head second over C&D in March remains her nearest miss in 12 career starts; one of this autumn's lesser efforts came last time (reluctant to load, too) and headgear is now given a go.

8 (6)
6368/03-

Three Dragons350T: Joseph Parr / J: Jack Mitchell3 y.o / 9.4lb / OR 54

52-

52
20/1

-

3
9.4

54

6

0.91

4

54

1
1

-1

0

-46

0-40%

0-20%

0-00%

0% 0% (0-0-3)

0.4

0

17% (2-12)

2.2

0.9

21% (4-19)

4.3

0.9

4-9
44%

44% (4-9)

2.3

1.7

16% (41-253)

42.5

1

17% (1-6)

0.9

1.1

17-158
11%

11% (17-158)

20.9

0.8

Sakhee

7% (17-238)

33.7

0.5

10% (65-634)

80

0.8

Achieved little in first-time cheekpieces on his handicap debut at Newcastle (1m) a year ago and has left Ben Haslam in the meantime; 5lb lower mark more in line with his best maiden efforts, but there's not much winning middle-distance prowess among dam's immediate family.

10 (4)
500/000-

Smiley Bagel44DCCpT: D M Loughnane / J: P J McDonald7 y.o / 9.4lb / OR 50

40-

40
16/1

-

7
9.4

50

4

1.22

2

50

-20

0
3

0

-46

6-3517%

6-2227%

5-2124%

4-1136%

3-1127%

7-1164%

4% 22% (1-6-27)

3.4

0.3

7% (3-44)

4.7

0.6

11% (9-80)

8.8

1

2-16
13%

13% (2-16)

1.7

1.2

9% (10-110)

17.7

0.6

6% (10-158)

19.6

0.5

94-732
13%

13% (94-732)

99.9

0.9

Kyllachy

11% (20-184)

19.9

1

11% (313-2931)

357.2

0.9

Triple C&D scorer, including off up to 16lb higher, but has been struggling to beat many home either side of an 11-month absence; first headgear needs to turn him inside out.

1 (3)
7746-22

Brancaster454DT: B Ellison / J: P Hanagan6 y.o / 9.10lb / OR 63

26-

26
25/1

-

6
9.10

63

3

1.15

8

63

-4

1
1

-1

0

-46

2-1315%

0-10%

2-729%

0-00%

0-10%

50% 0% (1-0-2)

0.5

1.9

25% (1-4)

0.6

1.7

25% (3-12)

1.6

1.9

0-0
0%

0% (0-0)

0

11% (5-45)

6.8

0.7

17% (23-134)

21.8

1.1

10-101
10%

10% (10-101)

13.8

0.7

Casamento

7% (6-86)

11.5

0.5

9% (48-533)

63.6

0.8

Dual 1m4f Haydock scorer (good to soft) in autumn 2018, recording RPRs of up to 75; clearly goes close if running to that again, but fell some way short of doing so last term (fibrillating heart on reappearance) and watching brief perhaps wisest following a 15-month absence.

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