newcastle 12.20 Saturday 28th November

5
P51-643

Well Smitten12DCpT: S England / J: Jonathan England8 y.o / 11.7lb / OR 114

126-

126
7/1

-

8
11.7

114

3

114

1

2
0

0

107

47

3-2214%

0-80%

1-813%

3-1520%

0-00%

17% 17% (2-2-12)

1.4

7% (2-28)

3.1

0.7

11% (5-45)

4.9

1

57-453
13%

13% (57-453)

53.4

1.1

29% (2-7)

0.8

2.6

40% (2-5)

0.7

3

6-27
22%

22% (6-27)

5.1

1.2

Gold Well

15% (84-563)

91.5

0.9

13% (58-431)

70.4

0.8

Won twice last season after stable switch (2m3f, soft/good to soft); left reappearance behind with fair fourth at Leicester (2m6f, good) 12 days ago but needs extra today, still 5lb higher than for his last win.

8
12P11-2

Oscar Ceremony270CTsT: B Ellison / J: Danny Cook9 y.o / 11.0lb / OR 107

109-

109
8/1

-

9
11.0

107

5

107

2

0
0

0

101

41

3-1421%

0-30%

0-00%

3-1225%

1-1100%

14% 29% (3-6-21)

2.5

1.2

11% (5-46)

5.4

0.9

10% (9-93)

10.6

0.8

46-244
19%

19% (46-244)

53.4

0.9

18% (9-51)

11.7

0.8

24% (4-17)

5

0.8

7-37
19%

19% (7-37)

6.4

1.1

Oscar

11% (220-1949)

272.5

0.8

11% (156-1416)

190

0.8

Lightly raced 9yo who did well for Stef Keniry during last season's first chase campaign, signing off with two wins (2m7f/3m, soft; one here); has since changed stables (remains in same ownership) and could be more to come; good ground might be okay but the drop back in trip is a bigger worry.

2
364B3-1

Ascot De Bruyere257DCWSBT: J Ewart / J: B S Hughes10 y.o / 11.12lb / OR 127

105-

105
15/2

-

10
11.12

127

6

127

5

1
1

-1

94

34

5-2025%

0-20%

1-333%

2-922%

3-650%

0% 33% (0-1-3)

0.2

0

0% (0-12)

0.9

0

0% (0-29)

2.8

0

30-134
22%

22% (30-134)

28.1

1.1

25% (17-69)

17.5

1

23% (5-22)

5

1

4-10
40%

40% (4-10)

2.2

1.8

Kapgarde

16% (57-362)

60.5

0.9

14% (32-233)

37.3

0.9

10yo who struggled on his final few runs last season but returns having had wind surgery and is 14lb lower than when a fair third at Wetherby on last autumn's reappearance; his record here also catches the eye, with three wins and a second from six visits, so there are reasons for optimism.

4
676114

Cedar Hill21BFT: A M Thomson / J: Ryan Mania6 y.o / 11.8lb / OR 115

104-

104
9/1

-

6
11.8

115

7

115

10

0
2

0

97

37

3-1323%

1-425%

0-30%

1-714%

0-00%

0% 0% (0-0-8)

1

0

11% (3-27)

6

0.5

13% (6-46)

8.8

0.7

27-129
21%

21% (27-129)

24.9

1.1

22% (2-9)

1.8

1.1

23% (6-26)

5.9

1

0-0
0%

0% (0-0)

0

Frammassone

0% (0-0)

0

50% (2-4)

1.1

1.9

Has relished the switch to fences this autumn with easy handicap wins at Kelso (2m1f, good/good to soft) the last twice; has shot up the weights and is back up in trip today, but he's run fairly well over 2m4f over hurdles and the handicapper may not yet have this thriving 6yo in his clutches.

1
322-F6P

Bollin Ace14DCpT: T D Easterby / J: Jamie Hamilton9 y.o / 11.13lb / OR 117

101-

101
9/1

-

9
11.13

117

5

117

-14

1
2

-1

64

4

3-2910%

0-10%

1-128%

2-1217%

0-30%

2-367%

5% 12% (2-5-41)

2.9

0.7

5% (4-75)

6.6

0.6

8% (18-220)

22.5

0.8

5-78
6%

6% (5-78)

6.2

0.8

14% (6-43)

6.1

1

29% (2-7)

1.3

1.5

0-5
0%

0% (0-5)

0.6

0

Bollin Eric

12% (14-118)

14.9

0.9

12% (13-107)

12.6

1

His two starts this season have yielded a mid-race fall and a near-17l sixth; however, may have still needed the run last time and is on a competitive mark on his solid form early this year; seems versatile ground-wise.

6
P655-75

Acdc130DWSTsT: C Grant / J: Sean Quinlan10 y.o / 11.4lb / OR 108

101-

101
9/1

-

10
11.4

108

3

108

-20

0
3

0

120

60

5-2818%

1-911%

1-520%

2-825%

0-60%

1-617%

0% 7% (0-1-15)

0.6

0

0% (0-22)

0.9

0

3% (1-37)

1.9

0.5

6-110
5%

5% (6-110)

7.3

0.8

18% (6-33)

5.8

1

0% (0-17)

2.4

0

1-20
5%

5% (1-20)

4.1

0.2

King's Theatre

16% (284-1765)

299.7

1

16% (236-1487)

246.8

1

Mark is tumbling and he didn't run badly at Perth in July, his first start since February; however, it wasn't a performance that suggested this regressive 10yo was the one to be on next time out; returns from another break.

7
14P4-3F

Do Not Disturb33T: Mrs R Dobbin / J: Craig Nichol7 y.o / 11.2lb / OR 110

101-

101
9/1

-

7
11.2

110

5

110

0
3

0

109

49

1-617%

0-00%

0-30%

1-425%

0-10%

9% 36% (1-4-11)

1.8

0.6

17% (4-24)

4.5

0.9

14% (6-44)

6.8

0.9

33-341
10%

10% (33-341)

43.2

0.8

6% (2-31)

4.8

0.4

11% (2-19)

3

0.7

0-10
0%

0% (0-10)

1.6

0

Mahler

10% (41-395)

52.4

0.8

13% (46-355)

49.8

0.9

Beaten nearly 16l on last month's chase/seasonal debut at Ayr (2m4f, soft) but that third place was still encouraging and this lightly raced 7yo could build on it; hurdle win came on good to soft; unraced on good.

3
54-F6UP

Treshnish35CWST: Mrs S J Smith / J: Sam Coltherd(3)7 y.o / 11.9lb / OR 112

99-

99
9/1

-

7
11.9

112

5

112

-9

1
1

0

62

2

3-1817%

0-50%

0-10%

2-633%

2-367%

3-3100%

11% 28% (2-5-18)

1.5

1.3

6% (2-34)

3.2

0.6

5% (3-62)

5.9

0.5

1-82
1%

1% (1-82)

7.6

0.1

12% (2-17)

2.4

0.9

21% (11-52)

11

1

1-1
100%

100% (1-1)

0.3

3.3

Gold Away

6% (1-16)

3

0.3

21% (4-19)

3.5

1.1

Likes it here, with two wins (2m) from three visits, and following a year off he was still bang there when falling two out at Kelso last month; his jumping is a concern and he also needs to prove his stamina but this well-handicapped 7yo can win soon if cutting out the errors.

9
44-91PP

Las Tunas21TsT: R M Smith / J: D R Fox8 y.o / 10.11lb / OR 104

93-

93
10/1

-

8
10.11

104

3

104

-5

0
3

0

118

58

5-3514%

3-838%

0-20%

4-3213%

0-20%

1-250%

0% 40% (0-2-5)

0.5

0

0% (0-14)

1.3

0

11% (4-37)

3.7

1.1

0-4
0%

0% (0-4)

0.2

0

10% (2-21)

3.5

0.6

0% (0-4)

0.7

0

0-2
0%

0% (0-2)

0.3

0

Country Reel

0% (0-10)

1.7

0

40% (4-10)

1.6

2.5

Pulled up at Kelso (2m1f, good to soft) latest and his British wins have been at 1m7f/2m; however, Kelso isn't his track (best RPR of just 94 from nine visits) and he's got form figures of 1191 on his last four chasing encounters with good ground, including a convincing win at Carlisle last month; remains well treated, has run well here, and is worth another go at this trip.

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